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Northeastern vs Yale result

HomeNortheastern2–2, 8th in Coastal Athletic AssociationAwayYale1–3, 7th in Ivy League
84–73Final
57%43%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Northeastern to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
78–76
Margin
+2
Result
84–73

Our lines

Point spread
+1.5Northeastern to cover · 63%
Total points
154.5Under · 51% · projected 153.6
Fair odds
1.76Northeastern · Yale 2.32

Who will win Northeastern vs Yale?

Northeastern are the pick at home against Yale: a 57% win chance and a projected 78–76 score.

Northeastern have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 77.0 and allowing 86.7 points a game over that stretch. Yale have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 69.3 and allowing 79.7 points a game over that stretch.

Northeastern sit 11th in the Coastal Athletic Association at 1–2, while Yale sit 6th in the Ivy League at 1–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Northeastern rate -0.9 and Yale -1.2 points per game against an average side, a 0.3-point edge to Northeastern. Home court is worth about 13.4 points in this competition.

The market leans the other way, pricing Yale at 55%; our edge on Northeastern is large enough to stand.

Against the market lines, Northeastern +1.5 covers 63% of the time on our numbers, and the under 154.5 lands 51% against a projected 153.6 points.

Northeastern to win (57%). Projected score: 78–76. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Northeastern84%45%57%1.76
Winner (incl. overtime)Yale16%55%43%2.32
Point spreadNortheastern +1.587%48%63%1.58
Point spreadYale -1.513%52%37%2.73
Total pointsOver 154.548%49%49%2.05
Total pointsUnder 154.552%51%51%1.95
1st half spreadNortheastern -1.549%–49%2.06
1st half spreadYale +1.551%–51%1.95
1st half total pointsOver 73.549%–49%2.04
1st half total pointsUnder 73.551%–51%1.97

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

NortheasternBefore tip-offYale
  • 1–2Season record1–2
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 1–2Last 10 games1–2
  • W1Current streakL2
  • 77.0Points per game69.3
  • 86.7Points allowed per game79.7
  • −9.7Average margin−10.4
  • 2 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2
  • −0.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−1.2
  • +1.0AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.0
  • −1.9DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.2
  • +13.4Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Northeastern0.00.0–0.0−2.332.0–34.30.00.0–0.0−8.740.3–49.0
Yale0.00.0–0.0+1.337.3–36.00.00.0–0.0−11.732.0–43.7

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Northeastern

1–2

2–2, 8th in Coastal Athletic Association

Yale

1–2

1–3, 7th in Ivy League

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day