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Iowa vs Creighton prediction

HomeIowa2–1, 14th in Big TenAwayCreighton2–1, 10th in Big East
36–44Q2
68%32%
Win probability
Live · updates automatically

Our pick

Lean
Iowa to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
77–71
Margin
+6

Who will win Iowa vs Creighton?

The numbers side with Iowa (68%) at home against Creighton, with 77–71 the most likely shape of the final score.

Iowa have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 85.0 and allowing 64.7 points a game over that stretch. Creighton have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 80.3 and allowing 68.3 points a game over that stretch.

Iowa sit 14th in the Big Ten at 2–1, while Creighton sit 10th in the Big East at 2–1.

On adjusted efficiency, Iowa rate +2.1 and Creighton +1.8 points per game against an average side, a 0.3-point edge to Iowa. Home court is worth about 12 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Iowa at 63% across 8 bookmakers.

Iowa to win (68%). Projected score: 77–71.

Tale of the tape

IowaBefore tip-offCreighton
  • 2–1Season record2–1
  • 2–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 2–1Last 10 games2–1
  • L1Current streakL1
  • 85.0Points per game80.3
  • 64.7Points allowed per game68.3
  • +20.3Average margin+12.0
  • 4 daysRest before this game4 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • +2.1Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+1.8
  • +0.9AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+0.6
  • +1.2DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+1.2
  • +12.0Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Iowa0.00.0–0.0+9.739.7–30.00.00.0–0.0+12.342.3–30.0
Creighton0.00.0–0.0+10.342.3–32.00.00.0–0.0+1.738.0–36.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Iowa

2–1

2–1, 14th in Big Ten

Creighton

2–1

2–1, 10th in Big East

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day