Eastern Illinois vs IPFW prediction

HomeEastern Illinois1–3, 9th in Ohio Valley AwayIPFW1–2, 9th in Horizon League

53–60Q2

43%57%

Win probability

Live · updates automatically

Our pick

Toss-up

IPFW to win

Prediction updated Sun, Nov 15, 07:57 PM UTC

Predicted score: 72–75
Margin: +3

Who will win Eastern Illinois vs IPFW?

The numbers side with IPFW (57%) on the road against Eastern Illinois, with 75–72 the most likely shape of the final score.

Eastern Illinois have won 1 of their last 4, scoring 69.0 and allowing 80.0 points a game over that stretch. IPFW have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 77.7 and allowing 74.7 points a game over that stretch.

Eastern Illinois sit 9th in the Ohio Valley at 1–3, while IPFW sit 9th in the Horizon League at 1–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Eastern Illinois rate -4.7 and IPFW -2.7 points per game against an average side, a 2-point edge to IPFW. Home court is worth about 12 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices IPFW at 59% across 8 bookmakers.

IPFW to win (57%). Projected score: 75–72. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

Eastern IllinoisBefore tip-offIPFW

1–3Season record1–2
1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
1–3Last 10 games1–2
W1Current streakL1
69.0Points per game77.7
80.0Points allowed per game74.7
−11.0Average margin+3.0
3 daysRest before this game2 days
2Games in the last 7 days1
−4.7Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−2.7
−2.5AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.7
−2.2DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.0
+12.0Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Eastern Illinois	0.00.0–0.0	−6.532.3–38.8	0.00.0–0.0	−4.536.8–41.3
IPFW	0.00.0–0.0	+9.441.7–32.3	0.00.0–0.0	−6.336.0–42.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

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