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Northeastern vs Harvard result

HomeNortheastern2–2, 8th in Coastal Athletic AssociationAwayHarvard2–2, 4th in Ivy League
74–70Final (OT)
43%57%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick missed
Harvard to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
72–75
Margin
+3
Result
74–70

Our lines

Point spread
+3.5Northeastern to cover · 63%
Total points
146.5Over · 52% · projected 148.7
Fair odds
1.76Harvard · Northeastern 2.32

Who will win Northeastern vs Harvard?

The numbers side with Harvard (57%) on the road against Northeastern, with 75–72 the most likely shape of the final score.

Northeastern have won 0 of their last 2, scoring 78.5 and allowing 95.0 points a game over that stretch. Harvard have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 68.0 and allowing 46.0 points a game over that stretch.

Northeastern sit 10th in the Coastal Athletic Association at 0–2, while Harvard sit 1st in the Ivy League at 2–0.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Harvard at 58% across 5 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Harvard -3.5 covers 37% of the time on our numbers, and the over 146.5 lands 52% against a projected 148.7 points.

Harvard to win (57%). Projected score: 75–72. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Northeastern75%42%43%2.32
Winner (incl. overtime)Harvard25%58%57%1.76
Point spreadNortheastern +3.581%51%63%1.59
Point spreadHarvard -3.519%49%37%2.70
Total pointsOver 146.555%50%52%1.92
Total pointsUnder 146.545%50%48%2.09

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

NortheasternBefore tip-offHarvard
  • 0–2Season record2–0
  • 0–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–0
  • 0–2Last 10 games2–0
  • L2Current streakW2
  • 78.5Points per game68.0
  • 95.0Points allowed per game46.0
  • −16.5Average margin+22.0
  • 3 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Northeastern0.00.0–0.0−8.533.5–42.00.00.0–0.0−8.045.0–53.0
Harvard0.00.0–0.0+16.037.0–21.00.00.0–0.0+6.031.0–25.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Northeastern

0–2

2–2, 8th in Coastal Athletic Association

Harvard

2–0

2–2, 4th in Ivy League

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day