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Miami (FL) vs North Alabama result

HomeMiami (FL)3–1, 11th in Atlantic CoastAwayNorth Alabama2–2, 6th in United Athletic
94–52Final
92%8%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Miami (FL) to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
85–66
Margin
+19
Result
94–52

Our lines

Point spread
+33.5North Alabama to cover · 68%
Total points
150.5Over · 51% · projected 149.9
Fair odds
1.09Miami (FL) · North Alabama 12.71

Who will win Miami (FL) vs North Alabama?

Miami (FL) are the pick at home against North Alabama: a 92% win chance and a projected 85–66 score.

Miami (FL) have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 79.7 and allowing 61.7 points a game over that stretch. North Alabama have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 75.7 and allowing 74.0 points a game over that stretch.

Miami (FL) sit 16th in the Atlantic Coast at 2–1, while North Alabama sit 6th in the United Athletic at 2–1.

On adjusted efficiency, Miami (FL) rate +3.2 and North Alabama +1.8 points per game against an average side, a 1.5-point edge to Miami (FL). Home court is worth about 13.4 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Miami (FL) at 95% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Miami (FL) -33.5 covers 32% of the time on our numbers, and the over 150.5 lands 51% against a projected 150 points.

Miami (FL) to win (92%). Projected score: 85–66.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Miami (FL)87%95%92%1.09
Winner (incl. overtime)North Alabama13%5%8%12.71
Point spreadMiami (FL) -33.58%48%32%3.09
Point spreadNorth Alabama +33.592%52%68%1.48
Total pointsOver 150.549%52%51%1.97
Total pointsUnder 150.551%48%49%2.03
1st half spreadMiami (FL) -9.550%–50%1.99
1st half spreadNorth Alabama +9.550%–50%2.01
1st half total pointsOver 71.551%–51%1.96
1st half total pointsUnder 71.549%–49%2.05

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Miami (FL)Before tip-offNorth Alabama
  • 2–1Season record2–1
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–1
  • 2–1Last 10 games2–1
  • W2Current streakL1
  • 79.7Points per game75.7
  • 61.7Points allowed per game74.0
  • +18.0Average margin+1.7
  • 3 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days1
  • +3.2Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+1.8
  • +0.6AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+1.1
  • +2.7DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.6
  • +13.4Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Miami (FL)0.00.0–0.0+7.338.0–30.70.00.0–0.0+10.741.7–31.0
North Alabama0.00.0–0.0−3.736.3–40.00.00.0–0.0+5.339.3–34.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Miami (FL)

2–1

3–1, 11th in Atlantic Coast

North Alabama

2–1

2–2, 6th in United Athletic

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day