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Miami (FL) vs North Florida result

HomeMiami (FL)3–1, 11th in Atlantic CoastAwayNorth Florida1–3, 6th in ASUN
89–51Final
65%35%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Miami (FL) to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
83–76
Margin
+7
Result
89–51

Our lines

Point spread
+36.5North Florida to cover · 67%
Total points
164.5Under · 64% · projected 148.5
Fair odds
1.53Miami (FL) · North Florida 2.88

Who will win Miami (FL) vs North Florida?

The numbers side with Miami (FL) (65%) at home against North Florida, with 83–76 the most likely shape of the final score.

Miami (FL) have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 75.0 and allowing 67.0 points a game over that stretch. North Florida have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 67.0 and allowing 88.5 points a game over that stretch.

Miami (FL) sit 17th in the Atlantic Coast at 1–1, while North Florida sit 5th in the ASUN at 1–1.

Against the market lines, Miami (FL) -36.5 covers 33% of the time on our numbers, and the under 164.5 lands 64% against a projected 148.5 points.

Miami (FL) to win (65%). Projected score: 83–76.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Miami (FL)65%–65%1.53
Winner (incl. overtime)North Florida35%–35%2.88
Point spreadMiami (FL) -36.55%51%33%3.06
Point spreadNorth Florida +36.595%49%67%1.48
Total pointsOver 164.518%49%36%2.74
Total pointsUnder 164.582%51%64%1.57

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Miami (FL)Before tip-offNorth Florida
  • 1–1Season record1–1
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–1
  • 1–1Last 10 games1–1
  • W1Current streakL1
  • 75.0Points per game67.0
  • 67.0Points allowed per game88.5
  • +8.0Average margin−21.5
  • 2 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Miami (FL)0.00.0–0.0+1.535.0–33.50.00.0–0.0+6.540.0–33.5
North Florida0.00.0–0.0−15.026.5–41.50.00.0–0.0−6.540.5–47.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Miami (FL)

1–1

3–1, 11th in Atlantic Coast

North Florida

1–1

1–3, 6th in ASUN

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day