Florida Atlantic vs William & Mary result

HomeFlorida Atlantic3–1, 5th in American Conference AwayWilliam & Mary2–1, 3rd in Coastal Athletic Association

95–90Final

70%30%

Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed

Florida Atlantic to win

Prediction updated Wed, Nov 11, 11:27 PM UTC

Predicted score: 84–77
Margin: +7
Result: 95–90

Our lines

Point spread

−4.5Florida Atlantic to cover · 59%

Total points

165.5Under · 61% · projected 151.6

Fair odds

1.43Florida Atlantic · William & Mary 3.32

Who will win Florida Atlantic vs William & Mary?

Florida Atlantic are the pick at home against William & Mary: a 70% win chance and a projected 84–77 score.

Florida Atlantic have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 72.5 and allowing 78.5 points a game over that stretch. William & Mary have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 92.0 and allowing 69.5 points a game over that stretch.

Florida Atlantic sit 10th in the American Conference at 1–1, while William & Mary sit 2nd in the Coastal Athletic Association at 2–0.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Florida Atlantic at 65% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Florida Atlantic -4.5 covers 59% of the time on our numbers, and the under 165.5 lands 61% against a projected 151.7 points.

Florida Atlantic to win (70%). Projected score: 84–77.

Markets

Market	Selection	Model	Market	Final	Fair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)	Florida Atlantic	80%	65%	70%	1.43
Winner (incl. overtime)	William & Mary	20%	35%	30%	3.32
Point spread	Florida Atlantic -4.5	71%	52%	59%	1.68
Point spread	William & Mary +4.5	29%	48%	41%	2.47
Total points	Over 165.5	20%	52%	39%	2.56
Total points	Under 165.5	80%	48%	61%	1.64
1st half spread	Florida Atlantic -3.5	52%	–	52%	1.94
1st half spread	William & Mary +3.5	48%	–	48%	2.07
1st half total points	Over 76.5	50%	–	50%	2.01
1st half total points	Under 76.5	50%	–	50%	1.99

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Florida AtlanticBefore tip-offWilliam & Mary

1–1Season record2–0
1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
1–1Last 10 games2–0
L1Current streakW2
72.5Points per game92.0
78.5Points allowed per game69.5
−6.0Average margin+22.5
4 daysRest before this game2 days
1Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Florida Atlantic	0.00.0–0.0	−5.532.5–38.0	0.00.0–0.0	−0.540.0–40.5
William & Mary	0.00.0–0.0	+13.045.5–32.5	0.00.0–0.0	+9.546.5–37.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form