Basketora

Fairfield vs NJIT result

HomeFairfield2–2, 6th in Metro Atlantic AthleticAwayNJIT1–5, 9th in America East
63–60Final
85%15%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Fairfield to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
78–64
Margin
+14
Result
63–60

Our lines

Point spread
−11.5Fairfield to cover · 55%
Total points
141.5Over · 51% · projected 142.8
Fair odds
1.17Fairfield · NJIT 6.76

Who will win Fairfield vs NJIT?

Our model makes Fairfield 85% favourites at home against NJIT and projects a 78–64 final.

Fairfield have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 59.0 and allowing 75.7 points a game over that stretch. NJIT have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 54.8 and allowing 80.2 points a game over that stretch.

Fairfield sit 8th in the Metro Atlantic Athletic at 1–2, while NJIT sit 9th in the America East at 1–4.

On adjusted efficiency, Fairfield rate -3.3 and NJIT -6.7 points per game against an average side, a 3.4-point edge to Fairfield. Home court is worth about 12.4 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Fairfield at 84% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Fairfield -11.5 covers 55% of the time on our numbers, and the over 141.5 lands 51% against a projected 142.8 points.

Fairfield to win (85%). Projected score: 78–64.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Fairfield88%84%85%1.17
Winner (incl. overtime)NJIT12%16%15%6.76
Point spreadFairfield -11.563%50%55%1.82
Point spreadNJIT +11.537%50%45%2.21
Total pointsOver 141.553%50%51%1.96
Total pointsUnder 141.547%50%49%2.05
1st half spreadFairfield -6.552%–52%1.92
1st half spreadNJIT +6.548%–48%2.09
1st half total pointsOver 67.551%–51%1.97
1st half total pointsUnder 67.549%–49%2.03

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

FairfieldBefore tip-offNJIT
  • 1–2Season record1–4
  • 0–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–4
  • 1–2Last 10 games1–4
  • L1Current streakL2
  • 59.0Points per game54.8
  • 75.7Points allowed per game80.2
  • −16.7Average margin−25.4
  • 3 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days3
  • −3.3Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−6.7
  • −3.2AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−5.7
  • −0.0DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.9
  • +12.4Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Fairfield0.00.0–0.0−16.323.7–40.00.00.0–0.0−0.435.3–35.7
NJIT0.00.0–0.0−14.424.2–38.60.00.0–0.0−11.030.6–41.6

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Fairfield

1–2

2–2, 6th in Metro Atlantic Athletic

NJIT

1–4

1–5, 9th in America East

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day