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East Carolina vs Delaware State result

HomeEast Carolina3–1, 4th in American ConferenceAwayDelaware State1–3, 5th in Mid-Eastern Athletic
72–48Final
86%14%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
East Carolina to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
81–67
Margin
+14
Result
72–48

Our lines

Point spread
+16.5Delaware State to cover · 60%
Total points
146.5Over · 54% · projected 149.3
Fair odds
1.16East Carolina · Delaware State 7.21

Who will win East Carolina vs Delaware State?

The numbers side with East Carolina (86%) at home against Delaware State, with 81–67 the most likely shape of the final score.

East Carolina have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 76.7 and allowing 71.7 points a game over that stretch. Delaware State have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 74.7 and allowing 67.0 points a game over that stretch.

East Carolina sit 4th in the American Conference at 2–1, while Delaware State sit 5th in the Mid-Eastern Athletic at 1–2.

On adjusted efficiency, East Carolina rate -1.9 and Delaware State +1.1 points per game against an average side, a 3.1-point edge to Delaware State. Home court is worth about 12.8 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices East Carolina at 90% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, East Carolina -16.5 covers 40% of the time on our numbers, and the over 146.5 lands 54% against a projected 149.3 points.

East Carolina to win (86%). Projected score: 81–67.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)East Carolina77%90%86%1.16
Winner (incl. overtime)Delaware State23%10%14%7.21
Point spreadEast Carolina -16.530%46%40%2.53
Point spreadDelaware State +16.570%54%60%1.66
Total pointsOver 146.557%51%54%1.87
Total pointsUnder 146.543%49%46%2.15
1st half spreadEast Carolina -7.549%–49%2.06
1st half spreadDelaware State +7.551%–51%1.94
1st half total pointsOver 70.550%–50%2.01
1st half total pointsUnder 70.550%–50%1.99

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

East CarolinaBefore tip-offDelaware State
  • 2–1Season record1–2
  • 2–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 2–1Last 10 games1–2
  • W1Current streakL2
  • 76.7Points per game74.7
  • 71.7Points allowed per game67.0
  • +5.0Average margin+7.7
  • 2 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • −1.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+1.1
  • −1.2AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−0.0
  • −0.7DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+1.2
  • +12.8Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
East Carolina0.00.0–0.0+7.037.3–30.30.00.0–0.0−2.039.3–41.3
Delaware State0.00.0–0.0+9.639.3–29.70.00.0–0.0−2.035.3–37.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

East Carolina

2–1

3–1, 4th in American Conference

Delaware State

1–2

1–3, 5th in Mid-Eastern Athletic

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day