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Bucknell vs Columbia result

HomeBucknell0–4, 10th in Patriot LeagueAwayColumbia3–1, 1st in Ivy League
59–77Final
49%51%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Columbia to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
74–75
Margin
+1
Result
59–77

Our lines

Point spread
+4.5Bucknell to cover · 65%
Total points
145.5Over · 55% · projected 150.2
Fair odds
1.97Columbia · Bucknell 2.03

Who will win Bucknell vs Columbia?

Our model makes Columbia 51% favourites on the road against Bucknell and projects a 75–74 final.

Bucknell have won 0 of their last 3, scoring 63.3 and allowing 91.0 points a game over that stretch. Columbia have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 88.7 and allowing 65.7 points a game over that stretch.

Bucknell sit 9th in the Patriot League at 0–3, while Columbia sit 3rd in the Ivy League at 2–1.

On adjusted efficiency, Bucknell rate -4.4 and Columbia -1.7 points per game against an average side, a 2.6-point edge to Columbia. Home court is worth about 13.4 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Columbia at 63% across 6 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Columbia -4.5 covers 35% of the time on our numbers, and the over 145.5 lands 55% against a projected 150.3 points.

Columbia to win (51%). Projected score: 75–74. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Bucknell79%37%49%2.03
Winner (incl. overtime)Columbia21%63%51%1.97
Point spreadBucknell +4.587%49%65%1.55
Point spreadColumbia -4.513%51%35%2.82
Total pointsOver 145.562%50%55%1.82
Total pointsUnder 145.538%50%45%2.22
1st half spreadBucknell +0.552%–52%1.94
1st half spreadColumbia -0.548%–48%2.07
1st half total pointsOver 70.549%–49%2.05
1st half total pointsUnder 70.551%–51%1.95

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

BucknellBefore tip-offColumbia
  • 0–3Season record2–1
  • 0–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
  • 0–3Last 10 games2–1
  • L3Current streakW2
  • 63.3Points per game88.7
  • 91.0Points allowed per game65.7
  • −27.7Average margin+23.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days1
  • −4.4Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−1.7
  • −2.2AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.5
  • −2.2DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.3
  • +13.4Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Bucknell0.00.0–0.0−12.328.7–41.00.00.0–0.0−15.334.7–50.0
Columbia0.00.0–0.0+5.339.3–34.00.00.0–0.0+17.649.3–31.7

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Bucknell

0–3

0–4, 10th in Patriot League

Columbia

2–1

3–1, 1st in Ivy League

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day