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Columbia vs Stonehill result

HomeColumbia3–1, 1st in Ivy LeagueAwayStonehill1–3, 8th in Northeast
75–55Final
81%19%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Columbia to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
81–65
Margin
+16
Result
75–55

Our lines

Point spread
+12.5Stonehill to cover · 54%
Total points
144.5Over · 54% · projected 148.5
Fair odds
1.24Columbia · Stonehill 5.18

Who will win Columbia vs Stonehill?

Our model makes Columbia 81% favourites at home against Stonehill and projects a 81–65 final.

Columbia have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 95.5 and allowing 71.0 points a game over that stretch. Stonehill have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 73.5 and allowing 69.5 points a game over that stretch.

Columbia sit 5th in the Ivy League at 1–1, while Stonehill sit 1st in the Northeast at 1–1.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Columbia at 87% across 7 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Columbia -12.5 covers 46% of the time on our numbers, and the over 144.5 lands 54% against a projected 148.5 points.

Columbia to win (81%). Projected score: 81–65.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Columbia65%87%81%1.24
Winner (incl. overtime)Stonehill35%13%19%5.18
Point spreadColumbia -12.538%52%46%2.16
Point spreadStonehill +12.562%48%54%1.86
Total pointsOver 144.559%50%54%1.87
Total pointsUnder 144.541%50%46%2.15

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

ColumbiaBefore tip-offStonehill
  • 1–1Season record1–1
  • 1–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 1–1Last 10 games1–1
  • W1Current streakL1
  • 95.5Points per game73.5
  • 71.0Points allowed per game69.5
  • +24.5Average margin+4.0
  • 3 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Columbia0.00.0–0.0+9.042.0–33.00.00.0–0.0+15.553.5–38.0
Stonehill0.00.0–0.0+12.038.5–26.50.00.0–0.0−8.035.0–43.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Columbia

1–1

3–1, 1st in Ivy League

Stonehill

1–1

1–3, 8th in Northeast

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day