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Wichita State vs Austin Peay result

HomeWichita State3–1, 3rd in American ConferenceAwayAustin Peay2–2, 5th in United Athletic
76–60Final
84%16%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Wichita State to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
83–70
Margin
+13
Result
76–60

Our lines

Point spread
+12.5Austin Peay to cover · 53%
Total points
153.5Under · 52% · projected 151.4
Fair odds
1.20Wichita State · Austin Peay 6.12

Who will win Wichita State vs Austin Peay?

The numbers side with Wichita State (84%) at home against Austin Peay, with 83–70 the most likely shape of the final score.

Wichita State have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 92.7 and allowing 73.3 points a game over that stretch. Austin Peay have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 86.7 and allowing 65.7 points a game over that stretch.

Wichita State sit 3rd in the American Conference at 2–1, while Austin Peay sit 4th in the United Athletic at 2–1.

On adjusted efficiency, Wichita State rate -1.3 and Austin Peay +0.9 points per game against an average side, a 2.2-point edge to Austin Peay. Home court is worth about 12.4 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Wichita State at 86% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Wichita State -12.5 covers 47% of the time on our numbers, and the under 153.5 lands 52% against a projected 151.4 points.

Wichita State to win (84%). Projected score: 83–70.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Wichita State78%86%84%1.20
Winner (incl. overtime)Austin Peay22%14%16%6.12
Point spreadWichita State -12.543%50%47%2.11
Point spreadAustin Peay +12.557%50%53%1.90
Total pointsOver 153.545%51%49%2.06
Total pointsUnder 153.555%49%52%1.94
1st half spreadWichita State -6.550%–50%1.99
1st half spreadAustin Peay +6.550%–50%2.01
1st half total pointsOver 72.552%–52%1.94
1st half total pointsUnder 72.548%–48%2.07

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Wichita StateBefore tip-offAustin Peay
  • 2–1Season record2–1
  • 2–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 2–1Last 10 games2–1
  • W1Current streakW1
  • 92.7Points per game86.7
  • 73.3Points allowed per game65.7
  • +19.4Average margin+21.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days1
  • −1.3Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+0.9
  • +0.2AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−0.1
  • −1.5DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+1.0
  • +12.4Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Wichita State0.00.0–0.0+14.051.0–37.00.00.0–0.0+5.441.7–36.3
Austin Peay0.00.0–0.0+19.047.3–28.30.00.0–0.0+2.039.3–37.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Wichita State

2–1

3–1, 3rd in American Conference

Austin Peay

2–1

2–2, 5th in United Athletic

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day