Basketora

Kobe vs Nagasaki result

Kobe vs Nagasaki: player stats and box scoreBox score, top scorers and team totals of the game

Our pick

Pick missed
Nagasaki to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
79–82
Margin
+3
Result
90–87

Last meeting

Kobe71–81Nagasaki
Our pick: Nagasaki 57%Pick landed

Our lines

Point spread
−2.5Nagasaki to cover · 51%
Total points
160.5Under · 51% · projected 160.1
Fair odds
1.68Nagasaki · Kobe 2.48

Who will win Kobe vs Nagasaki?

Our model makes Nagasaki 60% favourites on the road against Kobe and projects a 82–79 final.

Kobe have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 79.6 and allowing 88.2 points a game over that stretch. Nagasaki have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 83.2 and allowing 78.4 points a game over that stretch.

Kobe sit 10th in the Western Conference at 0–0, while Nagasaki sit 12th in the Western Conference at 0–0.

On adjusted efficiency, Kobe rate -5.3 and Nagasaki -1.6 points per game against an average side, a 3.6-point edge to Nagasaki. Home court is worth about 0.7 points in this competition.

These teams have met 2 times recently (Kobe 0, Nagasaki 2); the latest finished Kobe 71–81 Nagasaki on 2026-10-31.

Our own lines for this game: Nagasaki -2.5 on the spread and 160.5 total points (160.2 projected).

Nagasaki to win (60%). Projected score: 82–79. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Kobe40%–40%2.48
Winner (incl. overtime)Nagasaki60%–60%1.68
Point spreadKobe +2.549%–49%2.06
Point spreadNagasaki -2.551%–51%1.95
Total pointsOver 160.549%–49%2.03
Total pointsUnder 160.551%–51%1.97

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

KobeBefore tip-offNagasaki
  • 2–10Season record6–7
  • 2–4Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road2–4
  • 1–9Last 10 games6–4
  • L7Current streakW2
  • 78.0Points per game76.2
  • 86.0Points allowed per game79.5
  • −8.0Average margin−3.3
  • Back-to-backRest before this gameBack-to-back
  • 2Games in the last 7 days3
  • 40.5Rebounds per game33.6
  • 19.5Assists per game22.4
  • 7.8Three-pointers made per game12.6
  • 15.3Bench points per game21.4
  • −5.3Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−1.6
  • −3.6AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−4.0
  • −1.7DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+2.3
  • +0.7Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 4 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Kobe−2.518.2–20.7−5.916.7–22.6−2.220.0–22.2+1.423.4–22.0
Nagasaki−2.716.5–19.2+2.221.7–19.5−1.318.5–19.8+1.520.6–19.1

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Top performers

Leading scorers in this game

  • 19.0Points20.0
  • 2.0Rebounds5.0
  • 1.0Assists8.0
  • 5.0Three-pointers made1.0
  • 28.7Minutes33.0

Game leaders

Key battles

Starters
PTS
19·20
REB
2·5
AST
1·8
Starters
PTS
18·20
REB
13·3
AST
5·1
Starters
PTS
17·17
REB
11·11
AST
3·5
Starters
PTS
15·7
REB
0·0
AST
3·0
Starters
PTS
0·4
REB
1·5
AST
3·5
Photo credits (3)

Recent form

Kobe

0–5

0–0, 10th in Western Conference

Nagasaki

3–2

0–0, 12th in Western Conference

Head to head

  • Kobe 71–81 NagasakiPick landed
  • Nagasaki 85–69 Kobe

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