Kobe vs Nagasaki result
Our pick
Pick missedPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 79–82
- Margin
- +3
- Result
- 90–87
Last meeting
Our lines
Who will win Kobe vs Nagasaki?
Our model makes Nagasaki 60% favourites on the road against Kobe and projects a 82–79 final.
Kobe have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 79.6 and allowing 88.2 points a game over that stretch. Nagasaki have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 83.2 and allowing 78.4 points a game over that stretch.
Kobe sit 10th in the Western Conference at 0–0, while Nagasaki sit 12th in the Western Conference at 0–0.
On adjusted efficiency, Kobe rate -5.3 and Nagasaki -1.6 points per game against an average side, a 3.6-point edge to Nagasaki. Home court is worth about 0.7 points in this competition.
These teams have met 2 times recently (Kobe 0, Nagasaki 2); the latest finished Kobe 71–81 Nagasaki on 2026-10-31.
Our own lines for this game: Nagasaki -2.5 on the spread and 160.5 total points (160.2 projected).
Nagasaki to win (60%). Projected score: 82–79. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.
Markets
| Market | Selection | Model | Market | Final | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Kobe | 40% | – | 40% | 2.48 |
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Nagasaki | 60% | – | 60% | 1.68 |
| Point spread | Kobe +2.5 | 49% | – | 49% | 2.06 |
| Point spread | Nagasaki -2.5 | 51% | – | 51% | 1.95 |
| Total points | Over 160.5 | 49% | – | 49% | 2.03 |
| Total points | Under 160.5 | 51% | – | 51% | 1.97 |
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Tale of the tape
- 2–10Season record6–7
- 2–4Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road2–4
- 1–9Last 10 games6–4
- L7Current streakW2
- 78.0Points per game76.2
- 86.0Points allowed per game79.5
- −8.0Average margin−3.3
- Back-to-backRest before this gameBack-to-back
- 2Games in the last 7 days3
- 40.5Rebounds per game33.6
- 19.5Assists per game22.4
- 7.8Three-pointers made per game12.6
- 15.3Bench points per game21.4
- −5.3Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−1.6
- −3.6AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−4.0
- −1.7DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+2.3
- +0.7Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–
Team numbers per game from the last 4 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.
Quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe | −2.518.2–20.7 | −5.916.7–22.6 | −2.220.0–22.2 | +1.423.4–22.0 |
| Nagasaki | −2.716.5–19.2 | +2.221.7–19.5 | −1.318.5–19.8 | +1.520.6–19.1 |
Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.
Top performers
Leading scorers in this game
- 19.0Points20.0
- 2.0Rebounds5.0
- 1.0Assists8.0
- 5.0Three-pointers made1.0
- 28.7Minutes33.0
Game leaders
- Points
- Rebounds
- Assists
- Three-pointers made
Key battles
Photo credits (3)
- F. Aimaq · Jeff Ruane, CC BY 2.0
- P. Aguilar · Elemaki, CC BY 3.0
- Levi Randolph · Fire90, CC BY-SA 4.0
Recent form
Kobe
0–50–0, 10th in Western Conference
- vs Nagasaki71–81
- @ Shinshu87–97
- vs NeoPhoenix89–91
- @ Shiga80–92
- @ Sendai71–80
Nagasaki
3–20–0, 12th in Western Conference
- @ Kobe81–71
- vs Ryukyu101–84
- @ Shiga85–89
- @ Saga84–66
- vs Altiri Chiba65–82
Head to head
- Kobe 71–81 NagasakiPick landed
- Nagasaki 85–69 Kobe
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