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Utah State vs UC San Diego result

HomeUtah State4–0, 1st in Pacific-12AwayUC San Diego2–1, 7th in Big West
120–82Final
88%12%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Utah State to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
86–70
Margin
+16
Result
120–82

Our lines

Point spread
−13.5Utah State to cover · 55%
Total points
156.5Under · 51% · projected 154.9
Fair odds
1.13Utah State · UC San Diego 8.53

Who will win Utah State vs UC San Diego?

Utah State are the pick at home against UC San Diego: an 88% win chance and a projected 86–70 score.

Utah State have won 3 of their last 3, scoring 100.7 and allowing 66.7 points a game over that stretch. UC San Diego have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 90.5 and allowing 70.0 points a game over that stretch.

Utah State sit 2nd in the Pacific-12 at 3–0, while UC San Diego sit 5th in the Big West at 2–0.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Utah State at 87% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Utah State -13.5 covers 55% of the time on our numbers, and the under 156.5 lands 51% against a projected 154.9 points.

Utah State to win (88%). Projected score: 86–70.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Utah State91%87%88%1.13
Winner (incl. overtime)UC San Diego9%13%12%8.53
Point spreadUtah State -13.563%49%55%1.83
Point spreadUC San Diego +13.537%51%45%2.20
Total pointsOver 156.546%51%49%2.05
Total pointsUnder 156.554%49%51%1.95
1st half spreadUtah State -7.552%–52%1.92
1st half spreadUC San Diego +7.548%–48%2.08
1st half total pointsOver 74.549%–49%2.05
1st half total pointsUnder 74.551%–51%1.95

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Utah StateBefore tip-offUC San Diego
  • 3–0Season record2–0
  • 3–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
  • 3–0Last 10 games2–0
  • W3Current streakW2
  • 100.7Points per game90.5
  • 66.7Points allowed per game70.0
  • +34.0Average margin+20.5
  • 2 daysRest before this game5 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Utah State0.00.0–0.0+16.444.7–28.30.00.0–0.0+17.756.0–38.3
UC San Diego0.00.0–0.0−4.036.0–40.00.00.0–0.0+24.554.5–30.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Utah State

3–0

4–0, 1st in Pacific-12

UC San Diego

2–0

2–1, 7th in Big West

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day