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Purdue vs Ohio result

Our pick

Pick landed
Purdue to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
85–67
Margin
+18
Result
80–62

Our lines

Point spread
+19.5Ohio to cover · 58%
Total points
152.5Under · 51% · projected 150.9
Fair odds
1.11Purdue · Ohio 9.95

Who will win Purdue vs Ohio?

The numbers side with Purdue (90%) at home against Ohio, with 85–67 the most likely shape of the final score.

Purdue have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 76.0 and allowing 73.3 points a game over that stretch. Ohio have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 83.0 and allowing 73.5 points a game over that stretch.

Purdue sit 18th in the Big Ten at 1–2, while Ohio sit 4th in the Mid-American at 2–0.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Purdue at 93% across 7 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Purdue -19.5 covers 42% of the time on our numbers, and the under 152.5 lands 51% against a projected 151 points.

Purdue to win (90%). Projected score: 85–67.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Purdue82%93%90%1.11
Winner (incl. overtime)Ohio18%7%10%9.95
Point spreadPurdue -19.530%51%42%2.36
Point spreadOhio +19.570%49%58%1.74
Total pointsOver 152.546%51%49%2.05
Total pointsUnder 152.554%49%51%1.95
1st half spreadPurdue -8.551%–51%1.98
1st half spreadOhio +8.549%–49%2.02
1st half total pointsOver 72.549%–49%2.03
1st half total pointsUnder 72.551%–51%1.98

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

PurdueBefore tip-offOhio
  • 1–2Season record2–0
  • 1–2Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–0
  • 1–2Last 10 games2–0
  • W1Current streakW2
  • 76.0Points per game83.0
  • 73.3Points allowed per game73.5
  • +2.7Average margin+9.5
  • 3 daysRest before this game5 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Purdue0.00.0–0.0+5.733.7–28.00.00.0–0.0−2.035.0–37.0
Ohio0.00.0–0.0+3.036.0–33.00.00.0–0.0+6.547.0–40.5

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Purdue

1–2

2–2, 16th in Big Ten

Ohio

2–0

2–1, 8th in Mid-American

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day