Basketora

Northern Iowa vs Wisc. Green Bay result

HomeNorthern Iowa2–2, 7th in Missouri ValleyAwayWisc. Green Bay3–2, 3rd in Horizon League
89–76Final
64%36%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Northern Iowa to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
78–72
Margin
+6
Result
89–76

Our lines

Point spread
−3.5Northern Iowa to cover · 56%
Total points
150.5Under · 52% · projected 148.1
Fair odds
1.55Northern Iowa · Wisc. Green Bay 2.81

Who will win Northern Iowa vs Wisc. Green Bay?

The numbers side with Northern Iowa (64%) at home against Wisc. Green Bay, with 78–72 the most likely shape of the final score.

Northern Iowa have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 94.5 and allowing 84.0 points a game over that stretch. Wisc. Green Bay have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 78.0 and allowing 66.3 points a game over that stretch.

Northern Iowa sit 9th in the Missouri Valley at 1–1, while Wisc. Green Bay sit 3rd in the Horizon League at 2–1.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Northern Iowa at 61%.

Against the market lines, Northern Iowa -3.5 covers 56% of the time on our numbers, and the under 150.5 lands 52% against a projected 148.1 points.

Northern Iowa to win (64%). Projected score: 78–72.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Northern Iowa72%61%64%1.55
Winner (incl. overtime)Wisc. Green Bay28%39%36%2.81
Point spreadNorthern Iowa -3.565%49%56%1.80
Point spreadWisc. Green Bay +3.535%51%44%2.25
Total pointsOver 150.544%50%48%2.10
Total pointsUnder 150.556%50%52%1.91

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Northern IowaBefore tip-offWisc. Green Bay
  • 1–1Season record2–1
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–1
  • 1–1Last 10 games2–1
  • L1Current streakW1
  • 94.5Points per game78.0
  • 84.0Points allowed per game66.3
  • +10.5Average margin+11.7
  • 2 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Northern Iowa0.00.0–0.0−5.038.0–43.00.00.0–0.0+15.556.5–41.0
Wisc. Green Bay0.00.0–0.0+6.436.7–30.30.00.0–0.0+5.341.3–36.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Northern Iowa

1–1

2–2, 7th in Missouri Valley

Wisc. Green Bay

2–1

3–2, 3rd in Horizon League

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day