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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs Wisc. Green Bay result

HomeSt. Thomas (Minn.)2–3, 4th in Summit LeagueAwayWisc. Green Bay3–2, 3rd in Horizon League
67–76Final
74%26%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick missed
St. Thomas (Minn.) to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
83–72
Margin
+11
Result
67–76

Our lines

Point spread
+8.5Wisc. Green Bay to cover · 51%
Total points
149.5Over · 62% · projected 164.6
Fair odds
1.36St. Thomas (Minn.) · Wisc. Green Bay 3.78

Who will win St. Thomas (Minn.) vs Wisc. Green Bay?

Our model makes St. Thomas (Minn.) 74% favourites at home against Wisc. Green Bay and projects a 83–72 final.

St. Thomas (Minn.) have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 74.5 and allowing 77.0 points a game over that stretch. Wisc. Green Bay have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 79.0 and allowing 66.0 points a game over that stretch.

St. Thomas (Minn.) sit 3rd in the Summit League at 1–1, while Wisc. Green Bay sit 5th in the Horizon League at 1–1.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices St. Thomas (Minn.) at 76% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, St. Thomas (Minn.) -8.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers, and the over 149.5 lands 62% against a projected 164.6 points.

St. Thomas (Minn.) to win (74%). Projected score: 83–72.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)St. Thomas (Minn.)67%76%74%1.36
Winner (incl. overtime)Wisc. Green Bay33%24%26%3.78
Point spreadSt. Thomas (Minn.) -8.548%50%49%2.03
Point spreadWisc. Green Bay +8.552%50%51%1.97
Total pointsOver 149.582%49%62%1.61
Total pointsUnder 149.518%51%38%2.63

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

St. Thomas (Minn.)Before tip-offWisc. Green Bay
  • 1–1Season record1–1
  • 0–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 1–1Last 10 games1–1
  • L1Current streakL1
  • 74.5Points per game79.0
  • 77.0Points allowed per game66.0
  • −2.5Average margin+13.0
  • 1 dayRest before this game2 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
St. Thomas (Minn.)0.00.0–0.0−8.030.0–38.00.00.0–0.0+5.544.5–39.0
Wisc. Green Bay0.00.0–0.0+9.538.5–29.00.00.0–0.0+3.540.5–37.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

St. Thomas (Minn.)

1–1

2–3, 4th in Summit League

Wisc. Green Bay

1–1

3–2, 3rd in Horizon League

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day