Basketora

South Alabama vs Loyola Marymount result

HomeSouth Alabama2–2, 6th in Sun BeltAwayLoyola Marymount1–3, 9th in West Coast
79–72Final
58%42%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
South Alabama to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
75–72
Margin
+3
Result
79–72

Our lines

Point spread
+1.5South Alabama to cover · 64%
Total points
142.5Over · 59% · projected 153.5
Fair odds
1.73South Alabama · Loyola Marymount 2.37

Who will win South Alabama vs Loyola Marymount?

South Alabama are the pick at home against Loyola Marymount: a 58% win chance and a projected 75–72 score.

South Alabama have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 76.3 and allowing 80.7 points a game over that stretch. Loyola Marymount have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 88.7 and allowing 73.3 points a game over that stretch.

South Alabama sit 9th in the Sun Belt at 1–2, while Loyola Marymount sit 8th in the West Coast at 1–2.

On adjusted efficiency, South Alabama rate -0.7 and Loyola Marymount +1.9 points per game against an average side, a 2.6-point edge to Loyola Marymount. Home court is worth about 13.1 points in this competition.

The market leans the other way, pricing Loyola Marymount at 50%; our edge on South Alabama is large enough to stand.

Against the market lines, South Alabama +1.5 covers 64% of the time on our numbers, and the over 142.5 lands 59% against a projected 153.4 points.

South Alabama to win (58%). Projected score: 75–72. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)South Alabama77%50%58%1.73
Winner (incl. overtime)Loyola Marymount23%50%42%2.37
Point spreadSouth Alabama +1.580%53%64%1.57
Point spreadLoyola Marymount -1.520%47%36%2.75
Total pointsOver 142.576%49%59%1.68
Total pointsUnder 142.524%51%41%2.46
1st half spreadSouth Alabama -1.550%–50%2.02
1st half spreadLoyola Marymount +1.550%–50%1.98
1st half total pointsOver 69.550%–50%2.00
1st half total pointsUnder 69.550%–50%2.00

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

South AlabamaBefore tip-offLoyola Marymount
  • 1–2Season record1–2
  • 1–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 1–2Last 10 games1–2
  • L1Current streakL1
  • 76.3Points per game88.7
  • 80.7Points allowed per game73.3
  • −4.4Average margin+15.4
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2
  • −0.7Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+1.9
  • −0.3AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+2.0
  • −0.4DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.1
  • +13.1Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
South Alabama0.00.0–0.0−2.030.7–32.70.00.0–0.0−3.340.0–43.3
Loyola Marymount0.00.0–0.0+15.348.0–32.70.00.0–0.0+1.639.3–37.7

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

South Alabama

1–2

2–2, 6th in Sun Belt

Loyola Marymount

1–2

1–3, 9th in West Coast

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day