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UCF Knights vs South Alabama result

HomeUCF Knights4–0, 9th in Big 12AwaySouth Alabama2–3, 7th in Sun Belt
76–69Final
86%14%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
UCF Knights to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
84–66
Margin
+18
Result
76–69

Our lines

Point spread
+17.5South Alabama to cover · 57%
Total points
151.5Under · 53% · projected 148.7
Fair odds
1.16UCF Knights · South Alabama 7.34

Who will win UCF Knights vs South Alabama?

UCF Knights are the pick at home against South Alabama: an 86% win chance and a projected 84–66 score.

UCF Knights have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 91.5 and allowing 85.0 points a game over that stretch. South Alabama have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 80.0 and allowing 83.0 points a game over that stretch.

UCF Knights sit 9th in the Big 12 at 2–0, while South Alabama sit 5th in the Sun Belt at 1–1.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices UCF Knights at 91% across 5 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, UCF Knights -17.5 covers 43% of the time on our numbers, and the under 151.5 lands 53% against a projected 148.7 points.

UCF Knights to win (86%). Projected score: 84–66.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)UCF Knights75%91%86%1.16
Winner (incl. overtime)South Alabama25%9%14%7.34
Point spreadUCF Knights -17.535%48%43%2.32
Point spreadSouth Alabama +17.565%52%57%1.76
Total pointsOver 151.543%49%47%2.13
Total pointsUnder 151.557%51%53%1.88

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

UCF KnightsBefore tip-offSouth Alabama
  • 2–0Season record1–1
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
  • 2–0Last 10 games1–1
  • W2Current streakW1
  • 91.5Points per game80.0
  • 85.0Points allowed per game83.0
  • +6.5Average margin−3.0
  • 3 daysRest before this game4 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OT
UCF Knights0.00.0–0.0−2.537.5–40.00.00.0–0.0+8.547.0–38.5+1.014.0–13.0
South Alabama0.00.0–0.0−4.029.0–33.00.00.0–0.0−0.542.5–43.0+3.017.0–14.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

UCF Knights

2–0

4–0, 9th in Big 12

South Alabama

1–1

2–3, 7th in Sun Belt

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day