Basketora

Troy vs Loyola Marymount result

HomeTroy1–3, 13th in Sun BeltAwayLoyola Marymount1–3, 9th in West Coast
74–69Final (OT)
56%44%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Troy to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
75–73
Margin
+2
Result
74–69

Our lines

Point spread
+1.5Troy to cover · 62%
Total points
148.5Under · 51% · projected 148.7
Fair odds
1.79Troy · Loyola Marymount 2.27

Who will win Troy vs Loyola Marymount?

The numbers side with Troy (56%) at home against Loyola Marymount, with 75–73 the most likely shape of the final score.

Troy have won 0 of their last 2, scoring 64.0 and allowing 81.0 points a game over that stretch. Loyola Marymount have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 98.5 and allowing 73.0 points a game over that stretch.

Troy sit 14th in the Sun Belt at 0–2, while Loyola Marymount sit 7th in the West Coast at 1–1.

The market leans the other way, pricing Loyola Marymount at 52%; our edge on Troy is large enough to stand.

Against the market lines, Troy +1.5 covers 62% of the time on our numbers, and the under 148.5 lands 51% against a projected 148.7 points.

Troy to win (56%). Projected score: 75–73. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Troy75%48%56%1.79
Winner (incl. overtime)Loyola Marymount25%52%44%2.27
Point spreadTroy +1.578%51%62%1.62
Point spreadLoyola Marymount -1.522%49%38%2.62
Total pointsOver 148.550%48%49%2.05
Total pointsUnder 148.550%52%51%1.95

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

TroyBefore tip-offLoyola Marymount
  • 0–2Season record1–1
  • 0–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
  • 0–2Last 10 games1–1
  • L2Current streakW1
  • 64.0Points per game98.5
  • 81.0Points allowed per game73.0
  • −17.0Average margin+25.5
  • 3 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Troy0.00.0–0.0−10.527.0–37.50.00.0–0.0−6.537.0–43.5
Loyola Marymount0.00.0–0.0+19.053.5–34.50.00.0–0.0+6.545.0–38.5

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Troy

0–2

1–3, 13th in Sun Belt

Loyola Marymount

1–1

1–3, 9th in West Coast

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day