Long Beach State vs Pacific result
Our pick
Pick missedPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 70–72
- Margin
- +2
- Result
- 62–59
Our lines
Who will win Long Beach State vs Pacific?
Our model makes Pacific 54% favourites on the road against Long Beach State and projects a 72–70 final.
Long Beach State have won 0 of their last 2, scoring 66.5 and allowing 74.5 points a game over that stretch. Pacific have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 82.5 and allowing 49.5 points a game over that stretch.
Long Beach State sit 10th in the Big West at 0–2, while Pacific sit 1st in the West Coast at 2–0.
The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Pacific at 69% across 8 bookmakers.
Against the market lines, Pacific -6.5 covers 32% of the time on our numbers, and the over 137.5 lands 61% against a projected 151 points.
Pacific to win (54%). Projected score: 72–70. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.
Markets
| Market | Selection | Model | Market | Final | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Long Beach State | 80% | 31% | 46% | 2.17 |
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Pacific | 20% | 69% | 54% | 1.85 |
| Point spread | Long Beach State +6.5 | 90% | 53% | 68% | 1.47 |
| Point spread | Pacific -6.5 | 10% | 47% | 32% | 3.12 |
| Total points | Over 137.5 | 80% | 49% | 61% | 1.63 |
| Total points | Under 137.5 | 20% | 51% | 39% | 2.60 |
| 1st half spread | Long Beach State +0.5 | 49% | – | 49% | 2.04 |
| 1st half spread | Pacific -0.5 | 51% | – | 51% | 1.96 |
| 1st half total points | Over 67.5 | 50% | – | 50% | 1.99 |
| 1st half total points | Under 67.5 | 50% | – | 50% | 2.01 |
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Tale of the tape
- 0–2Season record2–0
- 0–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–0
- 0–2Last 10 games2–0
- L2Current streakW2
- 66.5Points per game82.5
- 74.5Points allowed per game49.5
- −8.0Average margin+33.0
- 3 daysRest before this game3 days
- 1Games in the last 7 days1
Quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach State | 0.00.0–0.0 | +1.536.0–34.5 | 0.00.0–0.0 | −9.530.5–40.0 |
| Pacific | 0.00.0–0.0 | +20.042.0–22.0 | 0.00.0–0.0 | +13.040.5–27.5 |
Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.
Recent form
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
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