Basketora

Nebraska O. vs Lindenwood result

HomeNebraska O.3–2, 2nd in Summit LeagueAwayLindenwood2–3, 5th in Ohio Valley
67–56Final
69%31%
Win probability

Next meeting: Dec 5. This page switches to its preview the day before the game.Next meetings

Our pick

Pick landed
Nebraska O. to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
80–74
Margin
+6
Result
67–56

Our lines

Point spread
−4.5Nebraska O. to cover · 59%
Total points
154.5Under · 50% · projected 152.6
Fair odds
1.45Nebraska O. · Lindenwood 3.21

Who will win Nebraska O. vs Lindenwood?

The numbers side with Nebraska O. (69%) at home against Lindenwood, with 80–74 the most likely shape of the final score.

Nebraska O. have won 2 of their last 4, scoring 68.5 and allowing 82.3 points a game over that stretch. Lindenwood have won 2 of their last 4, scoring 88.5 and allowing 70.5 points a game over that stretch.

Nebraska O. sit 3rd in the Summit League at 2–2, while Lindenwood sit 3rd in the Ohio Valley at 2–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Nebraska O. rate -3.9 and Lindenwood -3.6 points per game against an average side, a 0.3-point edge to Lindenwood. Home court is worth about 13.4 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Nebraska O. at 62% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Nebraska O. -4.5 covers 59% of the time on our numbers, and the under 154.5 lands 50% against a projected 152.7 points.

Nebraska O. to win (69%). Projected score: 80–74.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Nebraska O.84%62%69%1.45
Winner (incl. overtime)Lindenwood16%38%31%3.21
Point spreadNebraska O. -4.574%49%59%1.70
Point spreadLindenwood +4.526%51%41%2.43
Total pointsOver 154.545%52%50%2.02
Total pointsUnder 154.555%48%50%1.98
1st half spreadNebraska O. -3.549%–49%2.04
1st half spreadLindenwood +3.551%–51%1.97
1st half total pointsOver 73.550%–50%2.01
1st half total pointsUnder 73.550%–50%1.99

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Nebraska O.Before tip-offLindenwood
  • 2–2Season record2–2
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 2–2Last 10 games2–2
  • W1Current streakL1
  • 68.5Points per game88.5
  • 82.3Points allowed per game70.5
  • −13.8Average margin+18.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 3Games in the last 7 days2
  • −3.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−3.6
  • −1.5AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.6
  • −2.4DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−2.0
  • +13.4Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Nebraska O.0.00.0–0.0−10.830.0–40.80.00.0–0.0−3.038.5–41.5
Lindenwood0.00.0–0.0+9.548.8–39.30.00.0–0.0+8.539.8–31.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Nebraska O.

2–2

3–2, 2nd in Summit League

Lindenwood

2–2

2–3, 5th in Ohio Valley

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day