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Liberty vs N. Carolina Central result

HomeLiberty2–1, 6th in Conference USAAwayN. Carolina Central0–4, 8th in Mid-Eastern Athletic
74–66Final
89%11%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Liberty to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
79–62
Margin
+17
Result
74–66

Our lines

Point spread
+17.5N. Carolina Central to cover · 55%
Total points
137.5Over · 59% · projected 147.4
Fair odds
1.13Liberty · N. Carolina Central 8.91

Who will win Liberty vs N. Carolina Central?

The numbers side with Liberty (89%) at home against N. Carolina Central, with 79–62 the most likely shape of the final score.

Liberty have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 85.0 and allowing 63.0 points a game over that stretch. N. Carolina Central have won 0 of their last 3, scoring 62.7 and allowing 74.3 points a game over that stretch.

Liberty sit 7th in the Conference USA at 1–1, while N. Carolina Central sit 8th in the Mid-Eastern Athletic at 0–3.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Liberty at 91% across 6 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Liberty -17.5 covers 45% of the time on our numbers, and the over 137.5 lands 59% against a projected 147.5 points.

Liberty to win (89%). Projected score: 79–62.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Liberty83%91%89%1.13
Winner (incl. overtime)N. Carolina Central17%9%11%8.91
Point spreadLiberty -17.537%50%45%2.23
Point spreadN. Carolina Central +17.563%50%55%1.81
Total pointsOver 137.574%50%59%1.69
Total pointsUnder 137.526%50%41%2.46
1st half spreadLiberty -8.549%–49%2.06
1st half spreadN. Carolina Central +8.551%–51%1.95
1st half total pointsOver 67.549%–49%2.05
1st half total pointsUnder 67.551%–51%1.95

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

LibertyBefore tip-offN. Carolina Central
  • 1–1Season record0–3
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–3
  • 1–1Last 10 games0–3
  • W1Current streakL3
  • 85.0Points per game62.7
  • 63.0Points allowed per game74.3
  • +22.0Average margin−11.6
  • 5 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Liberty0.00.0–0.0+14.542.5–28.00.00.0–0.0+7.542.5–35.0
N. Carolina Central0.00.0–0.0−10.325.7–36.00.00.0–0.0+0.434.7–34.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Liberty

1–1

2–1, 6th in Conference USA

N. Carolina Central

0–3

0–4, 8th in Mid-Eastern Athletic

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day