NC Wilmington vs Kent State result

HomeNC Wilmington4–0, 1st in Coastal Athletic Association AwayKent State1–2, 10th in Mid-American

91–73Final

77%23%

Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed

NC Wilmington to win

Prediction updated Wed, Nov 11, 11:27 PM UTC

Predicted score: 83–72
Margin: +11
Result: 91–73

Our lines

Point spread

−8.5NC Wilmington to cover · 55%

Total points

158.5Under · 57% · projected 151.6

Fair odds

1.31NC Wilmington · Kent State 4.27

Who will win NC Wilmington vs Kent State?

Our model makes NC Wilmington 77% favourites at home against Kent State and projects a 83–72 final.

NC Wilmington have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 89.5 and allowing 70.0 points a game over that stretch. Kent State have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 88.5 and allowing 67.5 points a game over that stretch.

NC Wilmington sit 3rd in the Coastal Athletic Association at 2–0, while Kent State sit 7th in the Mid-American at 1–1.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices NC Wilmington at 75% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, NC Wilmington -8.5 covers 55% of the time on our numbers, and the under 158.5 lands 57% against a projected 151.7 points.

NC Wilmington to win (77%). Projected score: 83–72.

Markets

Market	Selection	Model	Market	Final	Fair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)	NC Wilmington	80%	75%	77%	1.31
Winner (incl. overtime)	Kent State	20%	25%	23%	4.27
Point spread	NC Wilmington -8.5	61%	50%	55%	1.83
Point spread	Kent State +8.5	39%	50%	45%	2.20
Total points	Over 158.5	34%	50%	43%	2.30
Total points	Under 158.5	66%	50%	57%	1.77
1st half spread	NC Wilmington -5.5	50%	–	50%	2.01
1st half spread	Kent State +5.5	50%	–	50%	1.99
1st half total points	Over 73.5	52%	–	52%	1.93
1st half total points	Under 73.5	48%	–	48%	2.08

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

NC WilmingtonBefore tip-offKent State

2–0Season record1–1
1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
2–0Last 10 games1–1
W2Current streakW1
89.5Points per game88.5
70.0Points allowed per game67.5
+19.5Average margin+21.0
3 daysRest before this game4 days
1Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
NC Wilmington	0.00.0–0.0	+3.533.5–30.0	0.00.0–0.0	+16.056.0–40.0
Kent State	0.00.0–0.0	+12.540.5–28.0	0.00.0–0.0	+8.548.0–39.5

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

NC Wilmington

2–0

4–0, 1st in Coastal Athletic Association

Nov 7@ East Carolina78–75
Nov 3vs Mount Olive Trojans101–65

Kent State

1–1

1–2, 10th in Mid-American

Nov 7vs Roberts Wesleyan102–50
Nov 3@ Louisiana Tech75–85

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.