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Houston vs Jacksonville State result

HomeHouston3–0, 4th in Big 12AwayJacksonville State2–2, 7th in Conference USA
92–46Final
80%20%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Houston to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
77–65
Margin
+12
Result
92–46

Our lines

Point spread
+36.5Jacksonville State to cover · 67%
Total points
136.5Over · 63% · projected 151.7
Fair odds
1.25Houston · Jacksonville State 5.04

Who will win Houston vs Jacksonville State?

The numbers side with Houston (80%) at home against Jacksonville State, with 77–65 the most likely shape of the final score.

Houston have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 81.0 and allowing 70.5 points a game over that stretch. Jacksonville State have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 101.5 and allowing 71.0 points a game over that stretch.

Houston sit 9th in the Big 12 at 2–0, while Jacksonville State sit 6th in the Conference USA at 1–1.

Against the market lines, Houston -36.5 covers 33% of the time on our numbers, and the over 136.5 lands 63% against a projected 151.7 points.

Houston to win (80%). Projected score: 77–65.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Houston80%–80%1.25
Winner (incl. overtime)Jacksonville State20%–20%5.04
Point spreadHouston -36.56%51%33%3.03
Point spreadJacksonville State +36.594%49%67%1.49
Total pointsOver 136.582%49%63%1.60
Total pointsUnder 136.518%51%37%2.67
1st half spreadHouston -6.549%–49%2.03
1st half spreadJacksonville State +6.551%–51%1.97
1st half total pointsOver 67.549%–49%2.03
1st half total pointsUnder 67.551%–51%1.97

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

HoustonBefore tip-offJacksonville State
  • 2–0Season record1–1
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 2–0Last 10 games1–1
  • W2Current streakL1
  • 90.0Points per game101.5
  • 61.5Points allowed per game71.0
  • +28.5Average margin+30.5
  • 2 daysRest before this game5 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OT
Houston0.00.0–0.0+15.543.0–27.50.00.0–0.0+13.047.0–34.0–
Jacksonville State0.00.0–0.0+24.548.0–23.50.00.0–0.0+7.546.5–39.0−3.014.0–17.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Houston

2–0

3–0, 4th in Big 12

Jacksonville State

1–1

2–2, 7th in Conference USA

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day