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Hawaii vs Portland result

HomeHawaii3–1, 5th in Mountain WestAwayPortland3–2, 6th in West Coast
66–73Final
81%19%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick missed
Hawaii to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
85–70
Margin
+15
Result
66–73

Our lines

Point spread
−7.5Hawaii to cover · 67%
Total points
156.5Under · 53% · projected 152.6
Fair odds
1.24Hawaii · Portland 5.13

Who will win Hawaii vs Portland?

Hawaii are the pick at home against Portland: an 81% win chance and a projected 85–70 score.

Hawaii have won 3 of their last 3, scoring 87.0 and allowing 59.7 points a game over that stretch. Portland have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 91.3 and allowing 102.7 points a game over that stretch.

Hawaii sit 1st in the Mountain West at 3–0, while Portland sit 9th in the West Coast at 1–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Hawaii rate +4.8 and Portland -10.8 points per game against an average side, a 15.6-point edge to Hawaii. Home court is worth about 11.8 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Hawaii at 74% across 7 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Hawaii -7.5 covers 67% of the time on our numbers, and the under 156.5 lands 53% against a projected 152.6 points.

Hawaii to win (81%). Projected score: 85–70.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Hawaii95%74%81%1.24
Winner (incl. overtime)Portland5%26%19%5.13
Point spreadHawaii -7.589%52%67%1.50
Point spreadPortland +7.511%48%33%2.99
Total pointsOver 156.540%51%47%2.15
Total pointsUnder 156.560%49%53%1.87

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

HawaiiBefore tip-offPortland
  • 3–0Season record2–1
  • 3–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
  • 3–0Last 10 games2–1
  • W3Current streakW1
  • 87.0Points per game116.0
  • 59.7Points allowed per game78.0
  • +27.3Average margin+38.0
  • Back-to-backRest before this gameBack-to-back
  • 3Games in the last 7 days2
  • +4.8Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−10.8
  • +1.8AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−2.7
  • +3.0DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−8.1
  • +11.8Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Hawaii0.00.0–0.0+16.045.0–29.00.00.0–0.0+11.342.0–30.7
Portland0.00.0–0.0+23.058.3–35.30.00.0–0.0+15.057.7–42.7

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Hawaii

3–0

3–1, 5th in Mountain West

Portland

2–1

3–2, 6th in West Coast

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day