Basketora

Hawaii vs UT Arlington result

HomeHawaii3–1, 5th in Mountain WestAwayUT Arlington4–1, 1st in United Athletic
71–62Final
73%27%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Hawaii to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
79–69
Margin
+10
Result
71–62

Our lines

Point spread
+10.5UT Arlington to cover · 57%
Total points
148.5Under · 51% · projected 148.4
Fair odds
1.37Hawaii · UT Arlington 3.68

Who will win Hawaii vs UT Arlington?

The numbers side with Hawaii (73%) at home against UT Arlington, with 79–69 the most likely shape of the final score.

Hawaii have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 95.0 and allowing 58.5 points a game over that stretch. UT Arlington have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 89.0 and allowing 70.5 points a game over that stretch.

Hawaii sit 2nd in the Mountain West at 2–0, while UT Arlington sit 2nd in the United Athletic at 2–0.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Hawaii at 77% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Hawaii -10.5 covers 43% of the time on our numbers, and the under 148.5 lands 51% against a projected 148.4 points.

Hawaii to win (73%). Projected score: 79–69.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Hawaii63%77%73%1.37
Winner (incl. overtime)UT Arlington37%23%27%3.68
Point spreadHawaii -10.539%45%43%2.35
Point spreadUT Arlington +10.561%55%57%1.74
Total pointsOver 148.550%49%49%2.02
Total pointsUnder 148.550%51%51%1.98

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

HawaiiBefore tip-offUT Arlington
  • 2–0Season record2–0
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–0
  • 2–0Last 10 games2–0
  • W2Current streakW2
  • 95.0Points per game89.0
  • 58.5Points allowed per game70.5
  • +36.5Average margin+18.5
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Hawaii0.00.0–0.0+24.054.0–30.00.00.0–0.0+12.541.0–28.5
UT Arlington0.00.0–0.0+11.544.0–32.50.00.0–0.0+7.045.0–38.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Hawaii

2–0

3–1, 5th in Mountain West

UT Arlington

2–0

4–1, 1st in United Athletic

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day