Colorado State vs Portland State result

HomeColorado State3–1, 6th in Pacific-12 AwayPortland State2–2, 5th in Big Sky

87–71Final

88%12%

Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed

Colorado State to win

Prediction updated Thu, Nov 12, 01:46 AM UTC

Predicted score: 84–67
Margin: +17
Result: 87–71

Our lines

Point spread

+16.5Portland State to cover · 54%

Total points

150.5Over · 51% · projected 151.6

Fair odds

1.14Colorado State · Portland State 8.07

Who will win Colorado State vs Portland State?

Our model makes Colorado State 88% favourites at home against Portland State and projects a 84–67 final.

Colorado State have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 81.0 and allowing 70.5 points a game over that stretch. Portland State have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 85.5 and allowing 69.0 points a game over that stretch.

Colorado State sit 7th in the Pacific-12 at 2–0, while Portland State sit 4th in the Big Sky at 1–1.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Colorado State at 91% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Colorado State -16.5 covers 46% of the time on our numbers, and the over 150.5 lands 51% against a projected 151.6 points.

Colorado State to win (88%). Projected score: 84–67.

Markets

Market	Selection	Model	Market	Final	Fair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)	Colorado State	80%	91%	88%	1.14
Winner (incl. overtime)	Portland State	20%	9%	12%	8.07
Point spread	Colorado State -16.5	40%	50%	46%	2.18
Point spread	Portland State +16.5	60%	50%	54%	1.85
Total points	Over 150.5	53%	49%	51%	1.98
Total points	Under 150.5	47%	51%	49%	2.03
1st half spread	Colorado State -8.5	50%	–	50%	1.99
1st half spread	Portland State +8.5	50%	–	50%	2.01
1st half total points	Over 71.5	50%	–	50%	1.99
1st half total points	Under 71.5	50%	–	50%	2.01

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Colorado StateBefore tip-offPortland State

2–0Season record1–1
2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
2–0Last 10 games1–1
W2Current streakL1
81.0Points per game85.5
70.5Points allowed per game69.0
+10.5Average margin+16.5
4 daysRest before this game3 days
1Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Colorado State	0.00.0–0.0	+4.540.0–35.5	0.00.0–0.0	+6.041.0–35.0
Portland State	0.00.0–0.0	+11.039.5–28.5	0.00.0–0.0	+5.546.0–40.5

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Colorado State

2–0

3–1, 6th in Pacific-12

Nov 7vs Idaho78–67
Nov 3vs Montana State84–74

Portland State

1–1

2–2, 5th in Big Sky

Nov 8@ Seattle60–79
Nov 4vs Lewis & Clark College111–59

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.