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St. John's (N.Y.) vs Colgate result

HomeSt. John's (N.Y.)3–0, 3rd in Big EastAwayColgate0–3, 8th in Patriot League
90–59Final
90%10%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
St. John's (N.Y.) to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
88–68
Margin
+20
Result
90–59

Our lines

Point spread
+29.5Colgate to cover · 63%
Total points
158.5Under · 56% · projected 151.6
Fair odds
1.11St. John's (N.Y.) · Colgate 10.48

Who will win St. John's (N.Y.) vs Colgate?

The numbers side with St. John's (N.Y.) (90%) at home against Colgate, with 88–68 the most likely shape of the final score.

St. John's (N.Y.) have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 91.0 and allowing 64.0 points a game over that stretch. Colgate have won 0 of their last 2, scoring 75.0 and allowing 83.5 points a game over that stretch.

St. John's (N.Y.) sit 5th in the Big East at 2–0, while Colgate sit 7th in the Patriot League at 0–2.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices St. John's (N.Y.) at 95% across 7 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, St. John's (N.Y.) -29.5 covers 37% of the time on our numbers, and the under 158.5 lands 56% against a projected 151.7 points.

St. John's (N.Y.) to win (90%). Projected score: 88–68.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)St. John's (N.Y.)80%95%90%1.11
Winner (incl. overtime)Colgate20%5%10%10.48
Point spreadSt. John's (N.Y.) -29.513%52%37%2.74
Point spreadColgate +29.587%48%63%1.58
Total pointsOver 158.534%51%44%2.27
Total pointsUnder 158.566%49%56%1.79
1st half spreadSt. John's (N.Y.) -9.551%–51%1.95
1st half spreadColgate +9.549%–49%2.05
1st half total pointsOver 74.548%–48%2.06
1st half total pointsUnder 74.552%–52%1.94

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

St. John's (N.Y.)Before tip-offColgate
  • 2–0Season record0–2
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 2–0Last 10 games0–2
  • W2Current streakL2
  • 91.0Points per game75.0
  • 64.0Points allowed per game83.5
  • +27.0Average margin−8.5
  • 2 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
St. John's (N.Y.)0.00.0–0.0+23.549.5–26.00.00.0–0.0+3.541.5–38.0
Colgate0.00.0–0.0−4.531.5–36.00.00.0–0.0−4.043.5–47.5

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

St. John's (N.Y.)

2–0

3–0, 3rd in Big East

Colgate

0–2

0–3, 8th in Patriot League

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day