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Elon vs Chattanooga Mocs result

HomeElon2–2, 7th in Coastal Athletic AssociationAwayChattanooga Mocs2–2, 6th in Southern
70–77Final
85%15%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick missed
Elon to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
83–69
Margin
+14
Result
70–77

Our lines

Point spread
+14.5Chattanooga Mocs to cover · 51%
Total points
152.5Under · 51% · projected 152.2
Fair odds
1.18Elon · Chattanooga Mocs 6.71

Who will win Elon vs Chattanooga Mocs?

Elon are the pick at home against Chattanooga Mocs: an 85% win chance and a projected 83–69 score.

Elon have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 69.3 and allowing 68.3 points a game over that stretch. Chattanooga Mocs have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 86.7 and allowing 82.7 points a game over that stretch.

Elon sit 4th in the Coastal Athletic Association at 2–1, while Chattanooga Mocs sit 10th in the Southern at 1–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Elon rate +1.5 and Chattanooga Mocs +0.9 points per game against an average side, a 0.6-point edge to Elon. Home court is worth about 13.4 points in this competition.

Our own lines for this game: Elon -14.5 on the spread and 152.5 total points (152.1 projected).

Elon to win (85%). Projected score: 83–69.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Elon85%–85%1.18
Winner (incl. overtime)Chattanooga Mocs15%–15%6.71
Point spreadElon -14.549%–49%2.06
Point spreadChattanooga Mocs +14.551%–51%1.95
Total pointsOver 152.549%–49%2.04
Total pointsUnder 152.551%–51%1.96
1st half spreadElon -7.548%–48%2.09
1st half spreadChattanooga Mocs +7.552%–52%1.92
1st half total pointsOver 72.550%–50%2.02
1st half total pointsUnder 72.550%–50%1.98

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

ElonBefore tip-offChattanooga Mocs
  • 2–1Season record1–2
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 2–1Last 10 games1–2
  • L1Current streakW1
  • 69.3Points per game86.7
  • 68.3Points allowed per game82.7
  • +1.0Average margin+4.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days1
  • +1.5Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+0.9
  • −0.8AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+2.3
  • +2.3DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.4
  • +13.4Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Elon0.00.0–0.0+9.433.7–24.30.00.0–0.0−8.335.7–44.0
Chattanooga Mocs0.00.0–0.0−4.739.3–44.00.00.0–0.0+8.647.3–38.7

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Elon

2–1

2–2, 7th in Coastal Athletic Association

Chattanooga Mocs

1–2

2–2, 6th in Southern

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day