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Boise State vs Oakland result

HomeBoise State3–0, 2nd in Pacific-12AwayOakland1–5, 10th in Horizon League
111–79Final
89%11%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Boise State to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
88–70
Margin
+18
Result
111–79

Our lines

Point spread
+16.5Oakland to cover · 51%
Total points
161.5Under · 58% · projected 152.9
Fair odds
1.12Boise State · Oakland 9.38

Who will win Boise State vs Oakland?

The numbers side with Boise State (89%) at home against Oakland, with 88–70 the most likely shape of the final score.

Boise State have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 116.0 and allowing 67.0 points a game over that stretch. Oakland have won 0 of their last 4, scoring 66.5 and allowing 91.0 points a game over that stretch.

Boise State sit 2nd in the Pacific-12 at 2–0, while Oakland sit 11th in the Horizon League at 0–4.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Boise State at 91% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Boise State -16.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers, and the under 161.5 lands 58% against a projected 152.9 points.

Boise State to win (89%). Projected score: 88–70.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Boise State85%91%89%1.12
Winner (incl. overtime)Oakland15%9%11%9.38
Point spreadBoise State -16.548%49%49%2.05
Point spreadOakland +16.552%51%51%1.95
Total pointsOver 161.530%50%42%2.38
Total pointsUnder 161.570%50%58%1.73
1st half spreadBoise State -9.549%–49%2.04
1st half spreadOakland +9.551%–51%1.96
1st half total pointsOver 75.548%–48%2.06
1st half total pointsUnder 75.552%–52%1.94

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Boise StateBefore tip-offOakland
  • 2–0Season record0–4
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–4
  • 2–0Last 10 games0–4
  • W2Current streakL4
  • 116.0Points per game66.5
  • 67.0Points allowed per game91.0
  • +49.0Average margin−24.5
  • 2 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 2Games in the last 7 days3

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Boise State0.00.0–0.0+31.560.0–28.50.00.0–0.0+17.556.0–38.5
Oakland0.00.0–0.0−13.531.3–44.80.00.0–0.0−11.035.3–46.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Boise State

2–0

3–0, 2nd in Pacific-12

Oakland

0–4

1–5, 10th in Horizon League

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day