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Nebraska vs Boise State result

HomeNebraska3–0, 3rd in Big TenAwayBoise State3–0, 2nd in Pacific-12
102–75Final
82%18%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Nebraska to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
85–73
Margin
+12
Result
102–75

Our lines

Point spread
−10.5Nebraska to cover · 53%
Total points
159.5Under · 53% · projected 156.9
Fair odds
1.22Nebraska · Boise State 5.46

Who will win Nebraska vs Boise State?

The numbers side with Nebraska (82%) at home against Boise State, with 85–73 the most likely shape of the final score.

Nebraska have won 3 of their last 3, scoring 89.0 and allowing 60.7 points a game over that stretch. Boise State have won 3 of their last 3, scoring 114.3 and allowing 71.0 points a game over that stretch.

Nebraska sit 3rd in the Big Ten at 3–0, while Boise State sit 2nd in the Pacific-12 at 3–0.

On adjusted efficiency, Nebraska rate +3.7 and Boise State +2.2 points per game against an average side, a 1.5-point edge to Nebraska. Home court is worth about 12 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Nebraska at 80% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Nebraska -10.5 covers 53% of the time on our numbers, and the under 159.5 lands 53% against a projected 157 points.

Nebraska to win (82%). Projected score: 85–73.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Nebraska85%80%82%1.22
Winner (incl. overtime)Boise State16%20%18%5.46
Point spreadNebraska -10.559%49%53%1.90
Point spreadBoise State +10.541%51%47%2.12
Total pointsOver 159.543%49%47%2.14
Total pointsUnder 159.557%51%53%1.88
1st half spreadNebraska -5.552%–52%1.91
1st half spreadBoise State +5.548%–48%2.10
1st half total pointsOver 75.549%–49%2.03
1st half total pointsUnder 75.551%–51%1.98

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

NebraskaBefore tip-offBoise State
  • 3–0Season record3–0
  • 3–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
  • 3–0Last 10 games3–0
  • W3Current streakW3
  • 89.0Points per game114.3
  • 60.7Points allowed per game71.0
  • +28.3Average margin+43.3
  • 3 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2
  • +3.7Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+2.2
  • +2.0AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+4.1
  • +1.7DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.9
  • +12.0Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Nebraska0.00.0–0.0+20.049.7–29.70.00.0–0.0+8.339.3–31.0
Boise State0.00.0–0.0+24.357.3–33.00.00.0–0.0+19.057.0–38.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Nebraska

3–0

3–0, 3rd in Big Ten

Boise State

3–0

3–0, 2nd in Pacific-12

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day