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Charlotte vs Appalachian State result

HomeCharlotte2–2, 12th in American ConferenceAwayAppalachian State2–2, 2nd in Sun Belt
60–66Final
83%17%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick missed
Charlotte to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
79–66
Margin
+13
Result
60–66

Our lines

Point spread
+13.5Appalachian State to cover · 51%
Total points
145.5Over · 51% · projected 145.7
Fair odds
1.20Charlotte · Appalachian State 6.06

Who will win Charlotte vs Appalachian State?

Our model makes Charlotte 83% favourites at home against Appalachian State and projects a 79–66 final.

Charlotte have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 72.3 and allowing 68.3 points a game over that stretch. Appalachian State have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 70.0 and allowing 60.3 points a game over that stretch.

Charlotte sit 7th in the American Conference at 2–1, while Appalachian State sit 6th in the Sun Belt at 1–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Charlotte rate -0.3 and Appalachian State 0 points per game against an average side, a 0.3-point edge to Appalachian State. Home court is worth about 13.4 points in this competition.

Our own lines for this game: Charlotte -13.5 on the spread and 145.5 total points (145.8 projected).

Charlotte to win (83%). Projected score: 79–66.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Charlotte83%–83%1.20
Winner (incl. overtime)Appalachian State17%–17%6.06
Point spreadCharlotte -13.549%–49%2.04
Point spreadAppalachian State +13.551%–51%1.96
Total pointsOver 145.551%–51%1.97
Total pointsUnder 145.549%–49%2.03
1st half spreadCharlotte -6.550%–50%1.99
1st half spreadAppalachian State +6.550%–50%2.01
1st half total pointsOver 69.549%–49%2.02
1st half total pointsUnder 69.551%–51%1.98

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

CharlotteBefore tip-offAppalachian State
  • 2–1Season record1–2
  • 1–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 2–1Last 10 games1–2
  • L1Current streakL1
  • 72.3Points per game70.0
  • 68.3Points allowed per game60.3
  • +4.0Average margin+9.7
  • 3 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • −0.3Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−0.0
  • −1.4AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.7
  • +1.0DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+1.6
  • +13.4Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Charlotte0.00.0–0.0−1.032.0–33.00.00.0–0.0+5.040.3–35.3
Appalachian State0.00.0–0.0+4.036.0–32.00.00.0–0.0+5.734.0–28.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Charlotte

2–1

2–2, 12th in American Conference

Appalachian State

1–2

2–2, 2nd in Sun Belt

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day