Basketora

Siena vs Princeton result

HomeSiena3–1, 1st in Metro Atlantic AthleticAwayPrinceton3–1, 3rd in Ivy League
82–68Final
55%45%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Siena to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
80–78
Margin
+2
Result
82–68

Our lines

Point spread
−1.5Siena to cover · 54%
Total points
154.5Over · 59% · projected 164.6
Fair odds
1.82Siena · Princeton 2.22

Who will win Siena vs Princeton?

Our model makes Siena 55% favourites at home against Princeton and projects a 80–78 final.

Siena have won 0 of their last 1, scoring 75.0 and allowing 80.0 points a game over that stretch. Princeton have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 69.0 and allowing 52.0 points a game over that stretch.

Siena sit 7th in the Metro Atlantic Athletic at 0–1, while Princeton sit 2nd in the Ivy League at 2–0.

The market leans the other way, pricing Princeton at 50%; our edge on Siena is large enough to stand.

Against the market lines, Siena -1.5 covers 54% of the time on our numbers, and the over 154.5 lands 59% against a projected 164.6 points.

Siena to win (55%). Projected score: 80–78. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Siena67%50%55%1.82
Winner (incl. overtime)Princeton33%50%45%2.22
Point spreadSiena -1.564%47%54%1.85
Point spreadPrinceton +1.536%53%46%2.17
Total pointsOver 154.573%51%59%1.68
Total pointsUnder 154.527%49%41%2.47

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

SienaBefore tip-offPrinceton
  • 0–1Season record2–0
  • 0–1Last 10 games2–0
  • L1Current streakW2
  • 75.0Points per game69.0
  • 80.0Points allowed per game52.0
  • −5.0Average margin+17.0
  • 5 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Siena0.00.0–0.0+4.041.0–37.00.00.0–0.0−9.034.0–43.0
Princeton0.00.0–0.0+6.030.5–24.50.00.0–0.0+11.038.5–27.5

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Siena

0–1

3–1, 1st in Metro Atlantic Athletic

Princeton

2–0

3–1, 3rd in Ivy League

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day