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New Mexico vs UALR result

Our pick

Pick landed
New Mexico to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
82–71
Margin
+11
Result
94–69

Our lines

Point spread
+21.5UALR to cover · 59%
Total points
156.5Under · 57% · projected 148.8
Fair odds
1.33New Mexico · UALR 4.02

Who will win New Mexico vs UALR?

Our model makes New Mexico 75% favourites at home against UALR and projects a 82–71 final.

New Mexico have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 97.0 and allowing 62.5 points a game over that stretch. UALR have won 0 of their last 2, scoring 75.5 and allowing 82.5 points a game over that stretch.

New Mexico sit 2nd in the Mountain West at 2–0, while UALR sit 8th in the United Athletic at 0–2.

Against the market lines, New Mexico -21.5 covers 41% of the time on our numbers, and the under 156.5 lands 57% against a projected 148.8 points.

New Mexico to win (75%). Projected score: 82–71.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)New Mexico75%–75%1.33
Winner (incl. overtime)UALR25%–25%4.02
Point spreadNew Mexico -21.527%50%41%2.46
Point spreadUALR +21.573%50%59%1.68
Total pointsOver 156.532%50%43%2.33
Total pointsUnder 156.568%50%57%1.75

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

New MexicoBefore tip-offUALR
  • 2–0Season record0–2
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 2–0Last 10 games0–2
  • W2Current streakL2
  • 97.0Points per game75.5
  • 62.5Points allowed per game82.5
  • +34.5Average margin−7.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
New Mexico0.00.0–0.0+10.542.0–31.50.00.0–0.0+24.055.0–31.0
UALR0.00.0–0.0−5.536.0–41.50.00.0–0.0−1.539.5–41.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

New Mexico

2–0

3–1, 3rd in Mountain West

UALR

0–2

1–3, 8th in United Athletic

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day