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Minnesota vs Southern Univ. result

HomeMinnesota4–0, 6th in Big TenAwaySouthern Univ.0–5, 11th in Southwestern Athletic
91–61Final
94%6%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Minnesota to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
83–61
Margin
+22
Result
91–61

Our lines

Point spread
+25.5Southern Univ. to cover · 55%
Total points
141.5Over · 54% · projected 145.6
Fair odds
1.07Minnesota · Southern Univ. 16.29

Who will win Minnesota vs Southern Univ.?

Minnesota are the pick at home against Southern Univ.: a 94% win chance and a projected 83–61 score.

Minnesota have won 3 of their last 3, scoring 74.7 and allowing 57.7 points a game over that stretch. Southern Univ. have won 0 of their last 4, scoring 60.3 and allowing 87.5 points a game over that stretch.

Minnesota sit 10th in the Big Ten at 3–0, while Southern Univ. sit 11th in the Southwestern Athletic at 0–4.

On adjusted efficiency, Minnesota rate +3.2 and Southern Univ. -4.8 points per game against an average side, a 8.1-point edge to Minnesota. Home court is worth about 13.1 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Minnesota at 94% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Minnesota -25.5 covers 45% of the time on our numbers, and the over 141.5 lands 54% against a projected 145.6 points.

Minnesota to win (94%). Projected score: 83–61.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Minnesota93%94%94%1.07
Winner (incl. overtime)Southern Univ.7%6%6%16.29
Point spreadMinnesota -25.538%49%45%2.24
Point spreadSouthern Univ. +25.562%51%55%1.81
Total pointsOver 141.560%50%54%1.84
Total pointsUnder 141.540%50%46%2.19
1st half spreadMinnesota -11.548%–48%2.07
1st half spreadSouthern Univ. +11.552%–52%1.93
1st half total pointsOver 68.548%–48%2.08
1st half total pointsUnder 68.552%–52%1.93

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

MinnesotaBefore tip-offSouthern Univ.
  • 3–0Season record0–4
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–4
  • 3–0Last 10 games0–4
  • W3Current streakL4
  • 74.7Points per game60.3
  • 57.7Points allowed per game87.5
  • +17.0Average margin−27.2
  • 2 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 2Games in the last 7 days3
  • +3.2Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−4.8
  • −0.7AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−2.9
  • +4.0DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−2.0
  • +13.1Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Minnesota0.00.0–0.0+11.337.0–25.70.00.0–0.0+5.737.7–32.0
Southern Univ.0.00.0–0.0−13.027.8–40.80.00.0–0.0−14.332.5–46.8

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Minnesota

3–0

4–0, 6th in Big Ten

Southern Univ.

0–4

0–5, 11th in Southwestern Athletic

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day