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Cincinnati vs Minnesota result

HomeCincinnati3–1, 11th in Big 12AwayMinnesota4–0, 6th in Big Ten
61–63Final
70%30%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick missed
Cincinnati to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
78–68
Margin
+10
Result
61–63

Our lines

Point spread
−6.5Cincinnati to cover · 51%
Total points
144.5Over · 53% · projected 148.5
Fair odds
1.43Cincinnati · Minnesota 3.33

Who will win Cincinnati vs Minnesota?

The numbers side with Cincinnati (70%) at home against Minnesota, with 78–68 the most likely shape of the final score.

Cincinnati have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 80.0 and allowing 58.5 points a game over that stretch. Minnesota have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 80.5 and allowing 56.0 points a game over that stretch.

Cincinnati sit 8th in the Big 12 at 2–0, while Minnesota sit 7th in the Big Ten at 2–0.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Cincinnati at 72% across 7 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Cincinnati -6.5 covers 51% of the time on our numbers, and the over 144.5 lands 53% against a projected 148.5 points.

Cincinnati to win (70%). Projected score: 78–68.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Cincinnati65%72%70%1.43
Winner (incl. overtime)Minnesota35%28%30%3.33
Point spreadCincinnati -6.551%51%51%1.95
Point spreadMinnesota +6.549%49%49%2.05
Total pointsOver 144.559%50%53%1.88
Total pointsUnder 144.541%50%47%2.14

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

CincinnatiBefore tip-offMinnesota
  • 2–0Season record2–0
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
  • 2–0Last 10 games2–0
  • W2Current streakW2
  • 80.0Points per game80.5
  • 58.5Points allowed per game56.0
  • +21.5Average margin+24.5
  • 3 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Cincinnati0.00.0–0.0+5.037.5–32.50.00.0–0.0+16.542.5–26.0
Minnesota0.00.0–0.0+17.040.5–23.50.00.0–0.0+7.540.0–32.5

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Cincinnati

2–0

3–1, 11th in Big 12

Minnesota

2–0

4–0, 6th in Big Ten

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day