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Southern Univ. vs Louisiana Christian prediction

HomeSouthern Univ.0–5, 11th in Southwestern AthleticAwayLouisiana Christian
Tip-off
71%29%
Win probability

Our pick

Lean
Southern Univ. to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
79–71
Margin
+8

Who will win Southern Univ. vs Louisiana Christian?

Southern Univ. is favoured at 71% to beat Louisiana Christian, with a projected final score of 79–71.

Southern Univ. enters this home game with a 71% win probability, but their recent form is poor: they have lost all five of their last five games, scoring 60.4 points per game and allowing 88.2 over that stretch. Louisiana Christian has played just one recent game, a loss in which they scored 45.0 and allowed 108.0. The contrast in sample size makes Southern Univ.'s slump more meaningful, yet the model still sees them as clear favourites.

The projected score of 79–71 suggests Southern Univ. will improve offensively while holding Louisiana Christian to a manageable total. Southern Univ.'s recent scoring average of 60.4 is well below the projection, but their opponent's defensive numbers are not provided; the model likely accounts for Louisiana Christian's 108.0 points allowed in their only recent game. Louisiana Christian's 45.0 points scored in that game raises questions about their ability to keep pace.

The market aligns with the model: Southern Univ. is given a 71% chance to win, and the projected score indicates a moderate margin. While Southern Univ.'s five-game losing streak is a concern, Louisiana Christian's limited recent sample and high points allowed suggest they may struggle to contain Southern Univ.'s offense. The home court could help Southern Univ. snap their skid.

Southern Univ. to win, 71%, projected score 79–71.

Tale of the tape

Southern Univ.Before tip-offLouisiana Christian
  • 0–5Season record0–1
  • 0–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 0–5Last 10 games0–1
  • L5Current streakL1
  • 60.4Points per game45.0
  • 88.2Points allowed per game108.0
  • −27.8Average margin−63.0
  • 4 daysRest before this game13 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days0

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Southern Univ.0.00.0–0.0−14.427.4–41.80.00.0–0.0−13.433.0–46.4
Louisiana Christian0.00.0–0.0−37.021.0–58.00.00.0–0.0−26.024.0–50.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Southern Univ.

0–5

0–5, 11th in Southwestern Athletic

Louisiana Christian

0–1

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

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