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Illinois (Chi.) vs NC Greensboro result

HomeIllinois (Chi.)3–1, 3rd in Missouri ValleyAwayNC Greensboro2–2, 5th in Southern
82–72Final
85%15%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Illinois (Chi.) to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
84–66
Margin
+18
Result
82–72

Our lines

Point spread
+19.5NC Greensboro to cover · 60%
Total points
149.5Under · 50% · projected 148.5
Fair odds
1.18Illinois (Chi.) · NC Greensboro 6.64

Who will win Illinois (Chi.) vs NC Greensboro?

The numbers side with Illinois (Chi.) (85%) at home against NC Greensboro, with 84–66 the most likely shape of the final score.

Illinois (Chi.) have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 87.5 and allowing 51.5 points a game over that stretch. NC Greensboro have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 80.5 and allowing 58.5 points a game over that stretch.

Illinois (Chi.) sit 1st in the Missouri Valley at 2–0, while NC Greensboro sit 3rd in the Southern at 1–1.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Illinois (Chi.) at 93% across 7 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Illinois (Chi.) -19.5 covers 40% of the time on our numbers, and the under 149.5 lands 50% against a projected 148.5 points.

Illinois (Chi.) to win (85%). Projected score: 84–66.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Illinois (Chi.)65%93%85%1.18
Winner (incl. overtime)NC Greensboro35%7%15%6.64
Point spreadIllinois (Chi.) -19.524%51%40%2.51
Point spreadNC Greensboro +19.576%49%60%1.66
Total pointsOver 149.548%51%50%2.02
Total pointsUnder 149.552%49%50%1.98

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Illinois (Chi.)Before tip-offNC Greensboro
  • 2–0Season record1–1
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 2–0Last 10 games1–1
  • W2Current streakL1
  • 87.5Points per game80.5
  • 51.5Points allowed per game58.5
  • +36.0Average margin+22.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Illinois (Chi.)0.00.0–0.0+9.040.5–31.50.00.0–0.0+27.047.0–20.0
NC Greensboro0.00.0–0.0+4.534.5–30.00.00.0–0.0+17.546.0–28.5

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Illinois (Chi.)

2–0

3–1, 3rd in Missouri Valley

NC Greensboro

1–1

2–2, 5th in Southern

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

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