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Murray State vs Hofstra prediction

HomeMurray State4–0, 1st in Missouri ValleyAwayHofstra2–2, 6th in Coastal Athletic Association
Tip-off
92%8%
Win probability

Our pick

Strong
Murray State to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
84–65
Margin
+19

Who will win Murray State vs Hofstra?

The numbers side with Murray State (92%) at home against Hofstra, with 84–65 the most likely shape of the final score.

Murray State have won 4 of their last 4, scoring 95.0 and allowing 67.5 points a game over that stretch. Hofstra have won 2 of their last 4, scoring 70.0 and allowing 63.8 points a game over that stretch.

Murray State sit 1st in the Missouri Valley at 4–0, while Hofstra sit 6th in the Coastal Athletic Association at 2–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Murray State rate +5.7 and Hofstra -0.8 points per game against an average side, a 6.5-point edge to Murray State. Home court is worth about 12 points in this competition.

Murray State to win (92%). Projected score: 84–65.

Tale of the tape

Murray StateBefore tip-offHofstra
  • 4–0Season record2–2
  • 3–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 4–0Last 10 games2–2
  • W4Current streakW1
  • 95.0Points per game70.0
  • 67.5Points allowed per game63.8
  • +27.5Average margin+6.2
  • 3 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2
  • +5.7Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−0.8
  • +4.4AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−2.8
  • +1.3DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+1.9
  • +12.0Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Murray State0.00.0–0.0+11.847.3–35.50.00.0–0.0+15.847.8–32.0
Hofstra0.00.0–0.0+4.231.0–26.80.00.0–0.0+1.336.3–35.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Murray State

4–0

4–0, 1st in Missouri Valley

Hofstra

2–2

2–2, 6th in Coastal Athletic Association

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day