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Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs Blackwater Bossing prediction

HomeBarangay Ginebra San Miguel4–5, 4th in Group BAwayBlackwater Bossing3–6, 6th in Group B
Tip-off
73%27%
Win probability

Our pick

Strong
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
110–102
Margin
+8

Last meeting

Blackwater Bossing85–115Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

Who will win Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs Blackwater Bossing?

The numbers side with Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (73%) at home against Blackwater Bossing, with 110–102 the most likely shape of the final score.

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 97.8 and allowing 99.4 points a game over that stretch. Blackwater Bossing have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 107.6 and allowing 110.8 points a game over that stretch.

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel sit 4th in the Group B at 4–5, while Blackwater Bossing sit 6th in the Group B at 3–6.

On adjusted efficiency, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel rate +0.9 and Blackwater Bossing -1.2 points per game against an average side, a 2.2-point edge to Barangay Ginebra San Miguel. Home court is worth about 1.6 points in this competition.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1, Blackwater Bossing 0); the latest finished Blackwater Bossing 85–115 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel on 2026-07-24.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Barangay Ginebra San Miguel at 77% across 3 bookmakers.

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel to win (73%). Projected score: 110–102.

Tale of the tape

Barangay Ginebra San MiguelBefore tip-offBlackwater Bossing
  • 4–5Season record3–6
  • 2–3Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–3
  • 4–5Last 10 games3–6
  • W1Current streakL3
  • 96.1Points per game106.3
  • 94.2Points allowed per game108.2
  • +1.9Average margin−1.9
  • 4 daysRest before this game5 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • +0.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−1.2
  • −4.2AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+0.2
  • +5.2DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.5
  • +1.6Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel+0.825.8–25.0+2.324.9–22.6+0.123.0–22.9−1.422.4–23.8
Blackwater Bossing+1.528.4–26.9−3.127.3–30.4−5.024.0–29.0+4.726.6–21.9

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

2–3

4–5, 4th in Group B

Blackwater Bossing

1–4

3–6, 6th in Group B

Head to head

  • Blackwater Bossing 85–115 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

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