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Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

HomeSacramento Kings0–5, 15th in Western ConferenceAwayOklahoma City Thunder1–4, 14th in Western Conference
Tip-off
24%76%
Win probability

Our pick

Strong
Oklahoma City Thunder to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
106–115
Margin
+9

Who will win Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Oklahoma City Thunder are the pick on the road against Sacramento Kings: a 76% win chance and a projected 115–106 score.

Sacramento Kings have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 105.4 and allowing 116.2 points a game over that stretch. Oklahoma City Thunder have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 113.0 and allowing 105.2 points a game over that stretch.

Sacramento Kings sit 15th in the Western Conference at 0–5, while Oklahoma City Thunder sit 14th in the Western Conference at 1–4.

On adjusted efficiency, Sacramento Kings rate -5.9 and Oklahoma City Thunder +2.6 points per game against an average side, a 8.5-point edge to Oklahoma City Thunder. Home court is worth about 2.2 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Oklahoma City Thunder at 79% across 9 bookmakers.

Oklahoma City Thunder to win (76%). Projected score: 115–106.

Tale of the tape

Sacramento KingsBefore tip-offOklahoma City Thunder
  • 1–11Season record8–5
  • 0–7Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road3–5
  • 1–9Last 10 games5–5
  • L5Current streakL3
  • 108.2Points per game111.2
  • 120.9Points allowed per game107.4
  • −12.7Average margin+3.8
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 3Games in the last 7 days3
  • 36.9Rebounds per game46.6
  • 25.0Assists per game22.8
  • 12.4Three-pointers made per game11.0
  • 52.1Bench points per game70.8
  • −5.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+2.6
  • −3.4AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.3
  • −2.5DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+3.9
  • +2.2Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 10 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Sacramento Kings−3.526.6–30.1−6.229.1–35.3−3.625.1–28.7+1.327.4–26.1
Oklahoma City Thunder+1.929.8–27.9+2.927.9–25.0−0.929.3–30.2−2.125.5–27.6

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

J. D. AcuffSacramento KingsVSShai Gilgeous-AlexanderGuard · Oklahoma City Thunder

Leading scorers · averages over the last 5 games

  • 24.4Points31.0
  • 3.6Rebounds4.2
  • 8.4Assists4.6
  • 3.2Three-pointers made1.6
  • 38.0Minutes32.5

Team leaders

Sacramento KingsThis seasonOklahoma City Thunder

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (12 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Zach LaVineVSShai Gilgeous-Alexander
PTS
18.6·31.0
REB
3.6·4.2
AST
2.8·4.6
Forwards
De'Andre HunterVSIsaiah Hartenstein
PTS
16.8·10.4
REB
3.5·11.2
AST
1.8·6.0
Forwards
Domantas SabonisVSKenrich Williams
PTS
13.5·7.0
REB
10.8·4.4
AST
4.0·2.2
Starters
J. D. AcuffVSJ. McCain
PTS
24.4·18.8
REB
3.6·4.6
AST
8.4·2.0
Cross-matchup
Keegan MurrayVSA. Mara
PTS
13.0·11.6
REB
4.0·6.8
AST
3.0·1.4

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Sacramento Kings

Likely starting five

  1. J. D. Acuff
    Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    24.4
  2. De'Andre Hunter
    Forward · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    16.8
  3. Zach LaVine
    Guard · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    18.6
  4. Domantas Sabonis
    Forward · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    13.5
  5. Keegan Murray
    Forward · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    13.0
Missed the last game
Away
Oklahoma City Thunder

Likely starting five

  1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    Guard · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    31.0
  2. J. McCain
    Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    18.8
  3. Isaiah Hartenstein
    Forward · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    10.4
  4. A. Mara
    Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    11.6
  5. Kenrich Williams
    Forward · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    7.0
Missed the last game
Full lineups and benchSacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder: player stats and box score
Photo credits (13)

Recent form

Sacramento Kings

0–5

0–5, 15th in Western Conference

Oklahoma City Thunder

2–3

1–4, 14th in Western Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day