Basketora

Peristeri vs Maroussi prediction

HomePeristeri2–1, 5th in AwayMaroussi0–3, 13th in
Tip-off
73%27%
Win probability

Our pick

Strong
Peristeri to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
85–79
Margin
+6

Our lines

Point spread
+7.5Maroussi to cover · 52%
Total points
163.5Under · 50% · projected 161.7
Fair odds
1.37Peristeri · Maroussi 3.71

Who will win Peristeri vs Maroussi?

The numbers side with Peristeri (73%) at home against Maroussi, with 85–79 the most likely shape of the final score.

Peristeri have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 86.7 and allowing 90.7 points a game over that stretch. Maroussi have won 0 of their last 3, scoring 68.7 and allowing 82.3 points a game over that stretch.

Peristeri sit 5th at 2–1, while Maroussi sit 13th at 0–3.

On adjusted efficiency, Peristeri rate -0.5 and Maroussi -2.8 points per game against an average side, a 2.3-point edge to Peristeri. Home court is worth about 3.9 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Peristeri at 73% across 6 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Peristeri -7.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers, and the under 163.5 lands 50% against a projected 161.7 points.

Peristeri to win (73%). Projected score: 85–79.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Peristeri73%73%73%1.37
Winner (incl. overtime)Maroussi27%27%27%3.71
Point spreadPeristeri -7.545%50%48%2.08
Point spreadMaroussi +7.555%50%52%1.92
Total pointsOver 163.545%54%50%2.00
Total pointsUnder 163.555%46%50%2.00

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

PeristeriBefore tip-offMaroussi
  • 2–1Season record0–3
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 2–1Last 10 games0–3
  • L1Current streakL3
  • 86.7Points per game68.7
  • 90.7Points allowed per game82.3
  • −4.0Average margin−13.6
  • 5 daysRest before this game6 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • −0.5Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−2.9
  • +2.0AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−2.4
  • −2.6DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.5
  • +3.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Peristeri−8.317.7–26.0−7.017.7–24.7+1.022.3–21.3+9.725.0–15.3
Maroussi−2.315.7–18.0−2.719.0–21.7−5.717.3–23.0−3.016.7–19.7

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Team leaders

PeristeriThis seasonMaroussi

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Peristeri

Likely starting five

  1. Ty Nichols
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    19.0
  2. Anderson T.
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    9.5
  3. Finch J.
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    11.5
  4. Payne O.
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    6.0
  5. Petrakis G.
    Started 1 of last 2
    PPG
    8.0
Away
Maroussi

No box scores for Maroussi in our data yet.

Full lineups and bench

Recent form

Peristeri

2–1

2–1, 5th in

  • @ Panathinaikos75–95
  • vs Iraklis91–89
  • @ Promitheas94–88

Maroussi

0–3

0–3, 13th in

  • @ Aris57–74
  • vs Mykonos79–82
  • @ AEK Athens70–91

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled