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Towson vs Loyola Maryland result

HomeTowson3–2, 4th in Coastal Athletic AssociationAwayLoyola Maryland1–4, 7th in Patriot League
90–60Final
87%13%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Towson to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
77–61
Margin
+16
Result
90–60

Our lines

Point spread
−13.5Towson to cover · 51%
Total points
133.5Over · 61% · projected 145.2
Fair odds
1.15Towson · Loyola Maryland 7.60

Who will win Towson vs Loyola Maryland?

Towson are the pick at home against Loyola Maryland: an 87% win chance and a projected 77–61 score.

Towson have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 64.3 and allowing 67.3 points a game over that stretch. Loyola Maryland have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 73.7 and allowing 70.7 points a game over that stretch.

Towson sit 8th in the Coastal Athletic Association at 1–2, while Loyola Maryland sit 5th in the Patriot League at 1–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Towson rate +0.6 and Loyola Maryland -0.9 points per game against an average side, a 1.5-point edge to Towson. Home court is worth about 13.1 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Towson at 88% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Towson -13.5 covers 51% of the time on our numbers, and the over 133.5 lands 61% against a projected 145.2 points.

Towson to win (87%). Projected score: 77–61.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Towson85%88%87%1.15
Winner (incl. overtime)Loyola Maryland15%12%13%7.60
Point spreadTowson -13.553%50%51%1.95
Point spreadLoyola Maryland +13.547%50%49%2.05
Total pointsOver 133.577%50%61%1.64
Total pointsUnder 133.523%50%39%2.56
1st half spreadTowson -8.548%–48%2.08
1st half spreadLoyola Maryland +8.552%–52%1.93
1st half total pointsOver 65.550%–50%2.00
1st half total pointsUnder 65.550%–50%2.00

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

TowsonBefore tip-offLoyola Maryland
  • 1–2Season record1–2
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 1–2Last 10 games1–2
  • W1Current streakW1
  • 64.3Points per game73.7
  • 67.3Points allowed per game70.7
  • −3.0Average margin+3.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2
  • +0.6Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−0.9
  • −2.0AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.1
  • +2.6DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.2
  • +13.1Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Towson0.00.0–0.0−2.030.7–32.70.00.0–0.0−1.033.7–34.7
Loyola Maryland0.00.0–0.0−2.730.0–32.70.00.0–0.0+5.743.7–38.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Towson

1–2

3–2, 4th in Coastal Athletic Association

Loyola Maryland

1–2

1–4, 7th in Patriot League

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day