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Brigham Young vs Montana State result

HomeBrigham Young4–0, 8th in Big 12AwayMontana State1–2, 6th in Big Sky
86–71Final
92%8%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Brigham Young to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
91–71
Margin
+20
Result
86–71

Our lines

Point spread
+23.5Montana State to cover · 60%
Total points
164.5Under · 58% · projected 156.7
Fair odds
1.09Brigham Young · Montana State 12.69

Who will win Brigham Young vs Montana State?

Brigham Young are the pick at home against Montana State: a 92% win chance and a projected 91–71 score.

Brigham Young have won 3 of their last 3, scoring 100.0 and allowing 77.3 points a game over that stretch. Montana State have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 78.5 and allowing 77.0 points a game over that stretch.

Brigham Young sit 7th in the Big 12 at 3–0, while Montana State sit 4th in the Big Sky at 1–1.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Brigham Young at 95% across 7 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Brigham Young -23.5 covers 40% of the time on our numbers, and the under 164.5 lands 58% against a projected 156.7 points.

Brigham Young to win (92%). Projected score: 91–71.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Brigham Young86%95%92%1.09
Winner (incl. overtime)Montana State14%5%8%12.69
Point spreadBrigham Young -23.528%47%40%2.51
Point spreadMontana State +23.572%53%60%1.66
Total pointsOver 164.532%50%42%2.36
Total pointsUnder 164.568%50%58%1.74
1st half spreadBrigham Young -10.548%–48%2.07
1st half spreadMontana State +10.552%–52%1.93
1st half total pointsOver 76.551%–51%1.97
1st half total pointsUnder 76.549%–49%2.03

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Brigham YoungBefore tip-offMontana State
  • 3–0Season record1–1
  • 3–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 3–0Last 10 games1–1
  • W3Current streakW1
  • 100.0Points per game78.5
  • 77.3Points allowed per game77.0
  • +22.7Average margin+1.5
  • 1 dayRest before this game4 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Brigham Young0.00.0–0.0+11.748.0–36.30.00.0–0.0+11.052.0–41.0
Montana State0.00.0–0.0+1.539.5–38.00.00.0–0.00.039.0–39.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Brigham Young

3–0

4–0, 8th in Big 12

Montana State

1–1

1–2, 6th in Big Sky

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day