Basketora

Arkansas State vs UT Martin result

HomeArkansas State2–2, 5th in Sun BeltAwayUT Martin2–2, 2nd in Ohio Valley
65–82Final
74%26%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick missed
Arkansas State to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
81–70
Margin
+11
Result
65–82

Our lines

Point spread
−7.5Arkansas State to cover · 54%
Total points
151.5Under · 52% · projected 148.7
Fair odds
1.36Arkansas State · UT Martin 3.81

Who will win Arkansas State vs UT Martin?

Our model makes Arkansas State 74% favourites at home against UT Martin and projects a 81–70 final.

Arkansas State have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 78.5 and allowing 85.5 points a game over that stretch. UT Martin have won 0 of their last 2, scoring 86.0 and allowing 87.5 points a game over that stretch.

Arkansas State sit 6th in the Sun Belt at 1–1, while UT Martin sit 8th in the Ohio Valley at 0–2.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Arkansas State at 73%.

Against the market lines, Arkansas State -7.5 covers 54% of the time on our numbers, and the under 151.5 lands 52% against a projected 148.7 points.

Arkansas State to win (74%). Projected score: 81–70.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Arkansas State75%73%74%1.36
Winner (incl. overtime)UT Martin25%27%26%3.81
Point spreadArkansas State -7.559%50%54%1.87
Point spreadUT Martin +7.541%50%46%2.15
Total pointsOver 151.543%50%48%2.10
Total pointsUnder 151.557%50%52%1.91

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Arkansas StateBefore tip-offUT Martin
  • 1–1Season record0–2
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 1–1Last 10 games0–2
  • L1Current streakL2
  • 78.5Points per game86.0
  • 85.5Points allowed per game87.5
  • −7.0Average margin−1.5
  • 3 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OT
Arkansas State0.00.0–0.0−8.035.0–43.00.00.0–0.0+1.043.5–42.5–
UT Martin0.00.0–0.00.035.5–35.50.00.0–0.0−0.541.5–42.0−2.018.0–20.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Arkansas State

1–1

2–2, 5th in Sun Belt

UT Martin

0–2

2–2, 2nd in Ohio Valley

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day