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Alabama A&M vs West Florida Argonauts result

HomeAlabama A&M3–1, 1st in Southwestern AthleticAwayWest Florida Argonauts2–3, 4th in ASUN
85–83Final (OT)
73%27%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Alabama A&M to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
79–70
Margin
+9
Result
85–83

Our lines

Point spread
−7.5Alabama A&M to cover · 51%
Total points
148.5Over · 50% · projected 149.3
Fair odds
1.37Alabama A&M · West Florida Argonauts 3.68

Who will win Alabama A&M vs West Florida Argonauts?

Alabama A&M are the pick at home against West Florida Argonauts: a 73% win chance and a projected 79–70 score.

Alabama A&M have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 80.0 and allowing 62.7 points a game over that stretch. West Florida Argonauts have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 104.0 and allowing 62.0 points a game over that stretch.

Alabama A&M sit 1st in the Southwestern Athletic at 2–1, while West Florida Argonauts sit 1st in the ASUN at 2–1.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Alabama A&M at 71% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Alabama A&M -7.5 covers 51% of the time on our numbers, and the over 148.5 lands 50% against a projected 149.3 points.

Alabama A&M to win (73%). Projected score: 79–70.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Alabama A&M77%71%73%1.37
Winner (incl. overtime)West Florida Argonauts23%29%27%3.68
Point spreadAlabama A&M -7.559%46%51%1.95
Point spreadWest Florida Argonauts +7.541%54%49%2.05
Total pointsOver 148.552%49%50%1.99
Total pointsUnder 148.548%51%50%2.01
1st half spreadAlabama A&M -4.549%–49%2.02
1st half spreadWest Florida Argonauts +4.551%–51%1.98
1st half total pointsOver 70.550%–50%1.98
1st half total pointsUnder 70.550%–50%2.02

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Alabama A&MBefore tip-offWest Florida Argonauts
  • 2–1Season record2–1
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 2–1Last 10 games2–1
  • L1Current streakW1
  • 80.0Points per game104.0
  • 62.7Points allowed per game62.0
  • +17.3Average margin+42.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Alabama A&M0.00.0–0.0+12.439.7–27.30.00.0–0.0+5.040.3–35.3
West Florida Argonauts0.00.0–0.0+22.051.7–29.70.00.0–0.0+20.052.3–32.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Alabama A&M

2–1

3–1, 1st in Southwestern Athletic

West Florida Argonauts

2–1

2–3, 4th in ASUN

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

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