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JL Bourg vs Gravelines-Dunkerque prediction

HomeJL Bourg1–3, 14th in AwayGravelines-Dunkerque0–4, 16th in
Tip-off
79%21%
Win probability

Our pick

Strong
JL Bourg to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
89–81
Margin
+8

Who will win JL Bourg vs Gravelines-Dunkerque?

Our model makes JL Bourg 79% favourites at home against Gravelines-Dunkerque and projects a 89–81 final.

JL Bourg have won 1 of their last 4, scoring 89.0 and allowing 89.5 points a game over that stretch. Gravelines-Dunkerque have won 0 of their last 4, scoring 79.5 and allowing 91.5 points a game over that stretch.

JL Bourg sit 14th at 1–3, while Gravelines-Dunkerque sit 16th at 0–4.

On adjusted efficiency, JL Bourg rate +0.5 and Gravelines-Dunkerque -3.6 points per game against an average side, a 4.1-point edge to JL Bourg. Home court is worth about 4.1 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices JL Bourg at 79% across 3 bookmakers.

JL Bourg to win (79%). Projected score: 89–81.

Tale of the tape

JL BourgBefore tip-offGravelines-Dunkerque
  • 1–3Season record0–4
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 1–3Last 10 games0–4
  • L2Current streakL4
  • 89.0Points per game79.5
  • 89.5Points allowed per game91.5
  • −0.5Average margin−12.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game5 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days1
  • 31.5Rebounds per game22.0
  • 19.0Assists per game24.0
  • 7.8Three-pointers made per game7.0
  • 34.8Bench points per game29.0
  • +0.5Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−3.6
  • +1.1AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.9
  • −0.7DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.8
  • +4.1Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 1 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
JL Bourg+5.224.5–19.3+5.526.8–21.3−4.518.8–23.3−6.016.8–22.8
Gravelines-Dunkerque+0.221.5–21.3−3.318.0–21.3−0.521.0–21.5−7.016.3–23.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Adrian NelsonJL BourgVSJ. GilyardGravelines-Dunkerque

Leading scorers · averages over the last 1 games

  • 14.8Points16.0
  • 5.5Rebounds3.0
  • 0.5Assists11.0
  • 2.3Three-pointers made2.0
  • 24.3Minutes35.8

Team leaders

JL BourgThis seasonGravelines-Dunkerque

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (1 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Starters
Adrian NelsonVSJ. Gilyard
PTS
14.8·16.0
REB
5.5·3.0
AST
0.5·11.0
Starters
Lionel GaudouxVSMikael Hopkins
PTS
13.8·13.0
REB
5.3·5.0
AST
1.0·2.0
Starters
Keith Jordan Jr.VSJaren Lewis
PTS
10.5·10.0
REB
4.3·4.0
AST
2.5·4.0
Starters
Tyger CampbellVSL. Letailleur
PTS
9.5·9.0
REB
1.8·1.0
AST
6.0·0.0
Starters
Trey WoodburyVSA. Dawkins
PTS
7.0·6.0
REB
4.0·1.0
AST
2.5·1.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
JL Bourg

Likely starting five

  1. Trey Woodbury
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    7.0
  2. Keith Jordan Jr.
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    10.5
  3. Lionel Gaudoux
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    13.8
  4. Tyger Campbell
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    9.5
  5. Adrian Nelson
    Started 2 of last 4
    PPG
    14.8
Away
Gravelines-Dunkerque

Likely starting five

  1. J. Gilyard
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    16.0
  2. Jaren Lewis
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    10.0
  3. Mikael Hopkins
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    13.0
  4. A. Dawkins
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    6.0
  5. L. Letailleur
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    9.0
Full lineups and bench

Photo credits: Tyger Campbell: Steve Cheng, Bruin Report Online, CC BY 2.0; Trey Woodbury: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; Keith Jordan Jr.: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; Lionel Gaudoux: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; RJ Nembhard Jr.: Nathan Lowe, CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Recent form

JL Bourg

1–3

1–3, 14th in

Gravelines-Dunkerque

0–4

0–4, 16th in

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day