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Landau Lions vs Denizli Basket prediction

HomeLandau Lions0–3, 6th in Group GAwayDenizli Basket
Tip-off
43%57%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Denizli Basket to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
84–86
Margin
+2

Who will win Landau Lions vs Denizli Basket?

Our model makes Denizli Basket 57% favourites on the road against Landau Lions and projects a 86–84 final.

Landau Lions have won 0 of their last 3, scoring 85.0 and allowing 101.3 points a game over that stretch. Denizli Basket have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 84.7 and allowing 80.3 points a game over that stretch.

On adjusted efficiency, Landau Lions rate -3.9 and Denizli Basket +1.6 points per game against an average side, a 5.5-point edge to Denizli Basket. Home court is worth about 3.4 points in this competition.

Denizli Basket to win (57%). Projected score: 86–84. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

Landau LionsBefore tip-offDenizli Basket
  • 0–3Season record2–1
  • 0–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–1
  • 0–3Last 10 games2–1
  • L3Current streakW1
  • 85.0Points per game84.7
  • 101.3Points allowed per game80.3
  • −16.3Average margin+4.4
  • 6 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2
  • 32.8Rebounds per game32.2
  • 14.0Assists per game15.8
  • 7.3Three-pointers made per game6.8
  • 19.3Bench points per game22.8
  • −3.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+1.6
  • +0.9AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+0.7
  • −4.8DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.9
  • +3.4Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 4 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Landau Lions−4.018.3–22.3−3.417.3–20.7−8.023.3–31.30.023.7–23.7
Denizli Basket−0.324.0–24.3+2.321.3–19.0−4.016.0–20.0+6.323.3–17.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

D. JacksonLandau LionsVSVictor BaileyDenizli Basket

Leading scorers · averages over the last 4 games

  • 16.3Points19.4
  • 2.3Rebounds1.6
  • 1.8Assists1.8
  • 1.0Three-pointers made1.2
  • 33.1Minutes26.9

Team leaders

Landau LionsThis seasonDenizli Basket

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (3 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Starters
D. JacksonVSVictor Bailey
PTS
16.3·19.4
REB
2.3·1.6
AST
1.8·1.8
Starters
James FrazierVSJohn Meeks
PTS
15.3·13.2
REB
6.5·4.6
AST
4.3·1.2
Starters
A. SakenisVSB. Ivey
PTS
15.3·10.6
REB
9.3·1.0
AST
0.3·3.8
Starters
Gediminas OrelikVSMahir Agva
PTS
12.5·7.2
REB
5.8·8.6
AST
1.8·1.2
Starters
E. Polite JuniorVSMarko Pecarski
PTS
11.0·5.4
REB
4.3·4.2
AST
0.7·0.6

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Landau Lions

Likely starting five

  1. James Frazier
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    15.3
  2. D. Jackson
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    16.3
  3. Gediminas Orelik
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    12.5
  4. A. Sakenis
    Started 3 of last 4
    PPG
    15.3
  5. E. Polite Junior
    Started 2 of last 4
    PPG
    11.0
Away
Denizli Basket

Likely starting five

  1. Victor Bailey
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    19.4
  2. Marko Pecarski
    Started 4 of last 5
    PPG
    5.4
  3. John Meeks
    Started 4 of last 5
    PPG
    13.2
  4. Mahir Agva
    Started 4 of last 5
    PPG
    7.2
  5. B. Ivey
    Started 4 of last 5
    PPG
    10.6
Full lineups and benchLandau Lions vs Denizli Basket player stats
Photo credits (6)

Recent form

Landau Lions

0–3

0–3, 6th in Group G

Denizli Basket

2–1

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day