NBA Results for Wednesday 28 October: Picks and Recap
A modest three-game slate on Wednesday 28 October produced two home victories and plenty of offense, headlined by a combined 265 points in Los Angeles. The predictive model finished the night with two correct straight-up selections out of three.
San Antonio registered the most lopsided outcome of the evening, dismantling Sacramento by 27 points. Meanwhile, Portland edged past the Lakers by seven points in the closest battle on the schedule.
NBA scores
| Game | Score | Our pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons | 111–97 | New York Knicks to win (53%) | Right |
| San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings | 130–103 | San Antonio Spurs to win (85%) | Right |
| Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers | 129–136 | Los Angeles Lakers to win (53%) | Wrong |
New York Knicks 111–97 Detroit Pistons
A crushing 37–13 third quarter carried New York to a 111–97 victory on their home floor against Detroit. The contest had been closely contested through two quarters, with the hosts taking a slender 51–50 advantage into the break before breaking clear.
A massive 27-point, 20-rebound double-double from Karl-Anthony Towns anchored New York throughout the contest. In the losing effort, Paul Reed paced Detroit by posting 22 points and 9 rebounds.
The projection leaned toward New York at a 53% win probability with a predicted 111–110 scoreline, delivering a successful winner pick. The 14-point margin allowed the hosts to cover the -3.5 spread easily, while their 208 combined points stayed well below the projected 218.5 total.
Following the win, New York Knicks sit 15th in the Eastern Conference at 1–4, while Detroit Pistons drop to 3–1, occupying 5th in the East. New York travels next to face an away at Chicago Bulls matchup on Thu 29 Oct, whereas Detroit remains active home to Charlotte Hornets on Wed 28 Oct.
New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons: full box score and prediction
San Antonio Spurs 130–103 Sacramento Kings
San Antonio took control of their home matchup against Sacramento with a blistering 41–25 second quarter, setting up a decisive 130–103 blowout. That charge sent the hosts into the locker room holding an insurmountable 80–54 halftime lead.
A stellar performance by Victor Wembanyama propelled the home side as he collected 29 points and 10 rebounds. Sacramento found their brightest spark in De'Andre Hunter, who finished with 24 points to go with 6 boards.
The computer favored San Antonio heavily with an 85% probability and an expected 121–109 result, accurately diagnosing the victor. Backers also saw the hosts clear the hefty -17.5 spread, while the 233 total points topped the 229.5 threshold.
With this win, San Antonio Spurs improve to 2–3 for 10th spot in the Western Conference, leaving Sacramento Kings winless at 0–5 in 15th. Up next, San Antonio is away at Utah Jazz on Thu 29 Oct, and Sacramento heads away at New Orleans Pelicans on Fri 30 Oct.
San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings: full box score and prediction
Portland Trail Blazers 136–129 Los Angeles Lakers
Overcoming a 73–68 deficit at halftime, Portland mounted a second-half resurgence to defeat Los Angeles 136–129 on the road. The visitors sealed the comeback by outscoring their opponents 34–26 over the final period.
The winning offense ran smoothly through Deni Avdija, who supplied 23 points alongside 9 assists. His output spoiled an electric display by Luka Doncic, who posted 41 points, 5 rebounds, and 9 assists for the Lakers.
The pre-game forecast missed the mark by giving Los Angeles a 53% chance to prevail in an estimated 117–116 clash. Consequently, Los Angeles failed to cover the -3.5 spread, while the 265 total points sailed far past the 236.5 line.
The victory elevates Portland Trail Blazers to 6th in the West with a 2–1 record, whereas Los Angeles Lakers slide to 2–3 in 11th place. The Lakers return quickly with a clash away at Los Angeles Clippers on Thu 29 Oct, and Portland prepares for a test home to Memphis Grizzlies on Fri 30 Oct.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers: full box score and prediction
How the model did
Across the slate on Wednesday 28 October, the algorithm went 2-1 on moneyline winners. Home clubs covered the spread in two of the three games, while two matchups ended over the projected point total. Overall this season, the model has hit 37 of 53 NBA winners (70%). Every graded pick is public.
NBA standings after Wednesday 28 October
| # | Team | Group | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Celtics | Eastern Conference | 4 | 0 |
| 2 | Atlanta Hawks | Eastern Conference | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | Memphis Grizzlies | Western Conference | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | Utah Jazz | Western Conference | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | New Orleans Pelicans | Western Conference | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | Brooklyn Nets | Eastern Conference | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Orlando Magic | Eastern Conference | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Detroit Pistons | Eastern Conference | 3 | 1 |
Next NBA games
- Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers, Wed 28 Oct, 23:00 UTC. Pick: Philadelphia 76ers to win
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards, Wed 28 Oct, 23:00 UTC. Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers to win
- Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets, Wed 28 Oct, 23:00 UTC. Pick: Detroit Pistons to win
- Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat, Wed 28 Oct, 23:00 UTC. Pick: Atlanta Hawks to win
- Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic, Wed 28 Oct, 23:30 UTC. Pick: Toronto Raptors to win
- Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks, Thu 29 Oct, 00:00 UTC. Pick: New York Knicks to win
- Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets, Thu 29 Oct, 00:00 UTC. Pick: Houston Rockets to win
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors, Thu 29 Oct, 00:00 UTC. Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves to win
- New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets, Thu 29 Oct, 00:00 UTC. Pick: Denver Nuggets to win
- Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs, Thu 29 Oct, 01:00 UTC. Pick: San Antonio Spurs to win
- Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder, Thu 29 Oct, 01:30 UTC. Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder to win
- Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers, Thu 29 Oct, 02:30 UTC. Pick: Los Angeles Lakers to win
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